Swing Trade Idea – February 22, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – Inventories
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Market Setup Pre-8:30 AM ET
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight Negative global set-up
•Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals
•Yields: Yields are lower
•Currencies: US$ -.05%; Yen +.35%
News: USA: FOMC minutes 14:00 ET; EUR: German CPI 8.7% Y-Y
Stocks: PANW +8.87% beat +guidance; BIDU +6.6% beat $5B buyback; RIO -2% dividend cut; INTC dividend cut; STLA +3% beat; WIX +9% beat; ZIP -16% miss; COIN EPS miss;
General: Leading: China Internet, Spec tech; TLT, Homebuilders Lagging: bitcoin. Gold miners, emerging markets
Overview: USA indices declined overnight and bounced premarket. Macro neutral with European indices lower, US$ lower, yields lower. SPY 399.9 has support of 398 and 395 with resistance of 400 and 405. SPY is expected to move +/- 3.0 today. QQQ 294.7 with a resistance 295, 300, and 305 with support 293 and 290. SPY and QQQ are below key 400 and 300 levels, hence at risk of further downside. Yield pullback is providing some relief and providing a bid to technology stocks and may lead to a mini short squeeze in no-profit tech ahead of FOMC meeting minutes. Minutes will likely be a market moving event at 14ET so take care.
Stocks to watch PANW, (ZS, CRWD, OKTA), NVDA, TSLA, STLA, BIDU, RIO Spec Names WIX, SHOP
Pre-800ET
Earnings ONEM, MTDR, ZIP, CSGP, KEYS, COIN, PANW, AU, RIO, STLA, WING, WIX
Indices KWEB, ARKK, XLK, QQQ, XLY, TLT, faangmt, XLB, GLD, XBI, IWM, /btc
S&P500 GRMN, CSGP, CRL, KEYS, NWS
IWM ONEM, TGNA, RCM, TGTX, WING, FSLY, CVI, FRO, ZIP, MTDR, TXRH
WSB BABA, COIN
Movers FVRR, PANW, WIX, ONEM, VRT, FMS, BIDU, GLBE, STLA, TGNA, BILI, SSR, CRWD, FSLY, PDD, AA, COIN, ZIP, CSGP, KEYS, AU
My Trade Idea: PANW
PANW is in play on earnings with a beat and positive guidance. Premarket shows 183. There is a potential long over 185 with a target of 190 or I will look for a pullback > $177.5 and a bounce. Analyst targets are 215-230. Other security stocks CRWD, ZS, and OKTA have potential sympathy