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  • Swing Trade Idea – February 27, 2023

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ‘div’ – dividend 

    ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ‘Inven’ – Inventories

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

     

    Market Setup Pre-8:30 AM ET

    Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia  Positive equity global set-up

    CommoditiesGold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals

    Yields: Yields are higher

    Currencies:  US$ -.1%; $GBP +.28%

    News: USA: Durable goods 830ET; Jefferson 1030ET

    Stocks: SGEN +12.8% potential PFE acq. LI +6% earnings; UNP +9.4% upgrade, new CEO plan; PFE -1% SGEN TSLA 2% Investor day Mar 1

    General: Leading: China Internet, spec tech, biotech, bitcoin, EFA  Lagging:  US$, Bonds

    Overview: USA indices have been rising since European opened. Macro mixed with European indices are higher, US$ are slightly lower, and yields higher. SPY 398 support of 395, and 390 with resistance at 400, and 405. SPY expected move +/- 2.9 today. QQQ 293.7 with resistance of 295, 300, and 305 and with the support of 292, Light data day with just durable goods report so market will trade with 0DTE option flow. In my opinion, market leaning risk-on with many stocks oversold. SGEN potential acquisition may lift biotech in general and usual Mon TSLA squeeze may be in effect ahead of the investor day. The indices are bearish, and yields are continuing to rise, which is a reason for caution. SPY 290 is a key support level.

    Stocks to watch TSLA, SGEN, BIDU, NVDA, ENPH, TGNA, RC, PFE, Spec Names LI, NIO, FREY

    Pre-800ET

    Earnings NE, TGNA, RC, LI, AES, VTRS

    Indices KWEB, ARKK, XBI, /BTC, EFA, SOXX, QQQ, XLY, SMH, EWZ, UUP, TLT

    S&P500 UNP, TSLA, PXD, AES, ENPH, NCLH, CCL, NVDA, BBY, PFE, VTRS

    IWM ULCC, INSW, MSTR, APPS, TGNA, RC, COUR

    WSB TSLA, BABA, COIN, MSTR, NVDA, RIVN, AFRM, PLUG

    Movers SGEN, UNP, LI, BIDU, TSLA, ULCC, TSLA, DB, GMAB, BABA, PUK, U, PXD, INSW, ENPH, CSP, VOD, TGNA, RC, RRC

     

    My Trade Idea: TSLA

    In my analysis, TSLA in play with March 1 investor day which can add to the usual Monday exuberance. Premarket high of 202 can be used for a momentum long or pullback to >= 200. TSLA moves in increments of +/-5 so upside targets 205, 210, and 215 with downside targets of (< 200) 195, 190. 6% daily move priced into options.

     

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