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  • Swing Trade Idea – March 31, 2023

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ‘div’ – dividend 

    ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ‘mfg’ – manufacturing 

    +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

    Global MarketsUSA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia  Neutral equity global set-up

    CommoditiesGold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals

    Yields: Yields are lower

    Currencies:  US $ +.3%; $Yen .56%

    News: USA: PCE at 8:30 ET; Chicago PMI at 9:45 ET; UofM consumer sentiment 10:00 ET; FOMC Williams at 15:05 ET; China: Mfg PMI 51.9 vs 51.6, Non-Mfg PMI 58.2; Japan: Ind Prod m/m 4.5% vs 2.8%; Europe: CPI 6.9% y/y vs 7.1%,; Canada: GDP at 8:30 ET
    Stocks
    AAP .8% upgrade, BB -2%, ASTS -6.5, RUM +11%, EPS DWAC +11%, Trump Indicated Usual Suspects: FAANGMT: AMZN -.03%, TSLA +0.32%, AAPL -.09%, MSFT -.12%, NVDA -.57%, META -.47%

    General: Leading:  Oil, financials, biotech, small caps, and bonds Lagging: China Internet, euro

    Overview: USA indices muted ahead of USA PCE print. SPY 404.3 with support of 402.2, 400, and 395 has resistance of 405. SPY expected move +/- 2.5. QQQ 315.6  with resistance of 317, and 320 and support  315, 310, and 305. QQQ expected move +/-2.5. Premarket volume is light and S&P IV is 2x Monday due to uncertainty.  SPX options positioned for 4065-4000.  Post-PCE IV should drop, which will enhance up moves and mitigate down moves. Potential for a reversal day for leading stocks as calls expire (e.g. NVDA) and lagging as puts expire (e.g. BAC). Note UofM 10:00 ET and Williams 1505 potentially market moving. JPM collar rolling today can cause market glitches if not managed well

    Stocks to watch AAP, TSLA, NFLX, BAC, NVDA, META  Spec Names RUN, FRC

    Pre-800ET
    Earnings AEHR, ASTS, BB, RUM

    Indices USO, IWM, UUP, TLT, KWEB, euro, bitcoin

    S&P500 FRC, AAP, GNRC

    IWM EYE, RNA

    WSB PLUG, NIO

    Movers WB, SJR, VIPS, IBN, UBS, EYE, BUD, INFY, BILI, GNRC, XPEV, NIO, AEHR, EURN, FUTU, BIDU









    My Trade Idea: BAC

    Banks have been slammed. In my opinion there is  a potential for bounce a into the end of quarter options expiration as puts expire and shorts close their books. Counter trend trade idea with long > 28.53 and targets 29 and 30 in short term

     

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