Swing Trade Idea – April 14, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
•Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
•Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
•Yields: Yields are higher
•Currencies: US $ -.01%;
News: USA:
Retail Sales at 8:30 ET; UofM Cons Sentiment at 10:00 ET; FOMC Waller at 8:45
ET
Stocks JPM +5.3%, C +1.2%, PNC +1.4%, WFC + 3.8%, UNH +.5%, EPS;
BA
-6.3% 737 Delivery Pause due to SPR -13%, VFC +5% Upgrade FAANGMT:
Pullback after Thurs short squeeze GOOGL MSFT weakest
General: Leading: Financials, bitcoin, Small Caps, volatility Lagging: Gold miners, faangmt, tech
Overview: USA indices mixed with IWM higher and leading and QQQ lagging. Global markets positive. SPY 413 displays support of 410, 407, and 405 with resistance at 415, and 420. SPY expected move +/- 2.2. QQQ 318 with resistance at 320, and 325 and displays support of 317, 315, 312, and 310. QQQ expected move +/- 2.2. Thurs was market by short squeeze in tech which is pulling back today. Baton has been passed to financials which are being led by JPM. Small caps are leading due to the small cap financial content. Should FAANGMT unwind today, SPY will underperform but cannot rule out additional squeezes. Retail sales premarket and UofM at 10:00 will be market moving.
Stocks to watch JPM, WFC, VFC, COIN, FRO, GOOGL, MSFT, BA, SPR Spec Names AI, RIOT, RIVN
Pre-800ET
Earnings C, HDB, JPM, PNC, UNH,
WFC
Indices KRE, XLF, /BTC, LIT, faangmt, ARKK, KWEB, XLK, QQQ, GLD, GDX, TLT
S&P500 JPM, VFC, FRC, PNC, C, WFC, BAC, KEY, SCHW, FITB, CFG, BA, HIG
IWM MARA, FRO, RIOT, NWBI, CRK, OEC
WSB RIOT, COIN, RIVN, BA
Movers JPM, VFC, WAL, MARA, FMS, FRC, C, FRO, VKTX, BUD, COIN, SPR, BA, PHG, RIVN, CHKP, OEC, HIG, GFI, HWM
Trade Idea: JPM
JPM earnings beat has led to a premarket move that exceeded the expected move of +/-4. In my opinion, very stretched but potential for further squeeze. Expected move target was 132, so intraday pullbacks > 132 may be dipped buys. Potential high of 140 based on options positioning