Swing Trade Idea – August 18, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Market Setup- Pre-7:30 ET
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields are lower Currencies: USA -.06%
· News: Europe: Final CPI 5.5% y/y as expected
· Stocks: Earnings: AMAT +.5% ROST +5% DE -.7% KEYS -12% EL -6.8%
· Overview: USA SPY 433.9 displays support of 430 and resistance at 435 440. SPY expected move +/- 2.7 QQQ 355.3 with resistance at 360, 365, and 370 and displays support of 355, 350. QQQ expected move +/- 3. Risk-off set-up with global equities weak with only positive being a pullback in yields and US$ not moving higher. FAANGMT and spec tech are searching for a bottom. Indices are below the expected move for the week and with Opex today potential for acceleration to downside or late in the afternoon bounce as put positions close. SPY 430 and QQQ 355, 350 are potential support levels with high put positions.
· Stocks to watch CSCO, AMZN, NVDA, WMT, FCX, RIO Spec Names IONQ, BILI
Pre-800ET
Earnings AMAT, ROST, EL, KEYS, DE
Indices VXX, TLT, GLD, UUP, XLU, GDX, /BTC, KWEB, ARKK, faangmt, EEM, XLY, XLK, QQQ, SOXX, JETS
S&P500 AMAT, KEYS, EL, TSLA, CCL, AMD, PANW, DE, PYPL, AMZN, WBA, META, NCLH, NVDA, FCX, MSFT, LVS
IWM TGTX, MARA, IONQ, AI, BORR, RIOT, SMCI, JOBY, GOGL, FRO
WSB NIO, AI, COIN, RIOT, UPST, BABA, PLTR
Movers HE, AMAT, MPW, BTI, KEYS, XPEV, VIPS, MARA, BILL, LI, NIO, IONQ, JD, BILI, COIN, AI, EL, TSLA
Trade Idea: QQQ
In my opinion, QQQ is continuing to fall with FAANGMT stocks in
distribution. Today is Opex with put positions at 355 and 350 which can be used
as lines in the sand. Potential for bounce off of 355 towards 360 or breach of
355 can lead to 350. May see late day moves as positions are closed.