Swing Trade Idea – August 28, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Market Setup- Pre-7:30 ET
· Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mild Positive equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields are higher Currencies: USA +05%
·
News: China: Cutting taxes on stock trading
Stocks: TSLA, BEKE, NIO, RIVN general lift of EVs with some positive
TSLA truck chatter; BSX +4.7% upgrade; MMM +6% lawsuit settlement
Overview: USA SPY 440.9 displays support of 440 and 436.5 with
resistance 442.9 and 445. In my opinion SPY can be expected to move +/- 2.4 QQQ
365.4 with resistance of 366.3 and 365 displays support of 360. QQQ in my
opinion can be expected to move +/- 2.8. Macro set-up is mild positive
with yields lower and US$ unchanged. China stimulus is lifting China
stocks but has pulled back overnight. No major news today so 0DTE is in control
today. Indices are negative gamma hence larger moves expected. Decrease in
volatility will be generally supportive to markets and pre-market a slight
risk-off vibe in place with the caveat that pops have been sold recently so one
should look for it today especially with major market moving events later in
the week. Tech, biotech favored premarket.
· Stocks to watch PDD, FRO, MMM, TSLA, BSX, CRWD, NVDA
· Spec Names XPEV, NIO, RIVN, MNSO
Pre-8:00ET
Earnings
Indices KWEB, XBI, EEM, ARKK, QQQ, XLY, DIA, XLK, KRE, VXX, /BTC,
S&P500 MMM, BSX, TSLA
IWM BBIO, FRO, IONQ, ENVX, UPWK
WSB NIO, TSLA, BABA, GME, AMC
Movers MMM, XPEV, BSX, BBIO, NIO, FUTU, TSLA, DB, JD, BABA, BEKE, RIVN, LI, IONQ, UBS, AMC, CRWD
Trade Idea: TSLA
In my opinion, TSLA and EVs are moving higher in premarket and TSLA
tends to be in play on Mondays:) Premarket 243 with targets 245 and 250 on long
side. Dark pool sellers 242.3 so remaining above may indicate sellers are done
but look for fades below towards 240. Below 240 support previous DP buyers at
237.90 and 236.4. Expected move for week +/-12