Swing Trade Idea – August 29, 2023
Date: Aug. 29, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Market Setup- Pre-7:30 ET
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields higher Currencies: USA +14%
·
News: China: More stimulus USA: S&P HPI 9ET;
CB Consumer Conf, JOLTS 10ET JPM: UE rate 2.7% vs 2.7%
Stocks: PDD +12%, SJM +2.5%, BBY +1% Positive
Earnings BNS, BMO, NIO -6.5%, SCVL -11.7%, HEI -5.5% Negative
Earnings
Overview: USA SPY 442.5 with support 440 – 436.5 and resistance
442.9 – 445 . SPY is expected to move +/- 1.9. QQQ is at 366.3
with resistance of 366.3 and support at 365 – 360. QQQ is expected to
move +/- 2.2. Macro set-up is mildly negative with yields flat and US$
higher. China stimulus and positive PDD results are lifting China stocks.
Consumer confidence and JOLTs are likely market moving at 9 and 10ET. Risk is
US$ rising in premarket with Yen particularly weak. SPY 440 and QQQ 365 are
major levels to watch today. China stocks and energy names pre-market areas of
focus
· Stocks to watch PDD, BBY, GOOGL, TSLA, NVDA, Spec Names; BEKE, MNSO
Pre-800ET
Earnings: PDD, SJM, BBY, CTLT, BNS, BMO,
NIO, SCVL, HEI
Indices: KWEB, USO, LIT, EEM, ICLN, TLT, IWM, XLK, SMH
S&P500: SJM, ORCL, CTLT, T, VZ, CE, CRM
IWM: JXN, BORR, GOGL, NTLA, FRO, VRRM
WSB: ORCL, AMC, BABA, NIO
Movers: PDD, JXN, BEKE, BORR, BZ, GOGL, NTLA, ORCL, VIPS, CTLT, T, LI, FRO, BABA, MNSO, GSK, SE, NIO, SBSW, CRM, ICL
Trade Idea: KWEB
China stimulus and PDD earnings are providing a boost to KWEB which is
heavy in China internet stocks. Risky name which tends to pullback in the
morning. Potential long idea after the morning pullback with target
previous high 31.6. Risk is USA institutions are moving assets away from China.