Swing Trade Idea – September 06, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
- Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
- ‘div’ – dividend
- ‘m/m’ – month over month
- ‘y/y’ – year over year
- ‘Inven’ – inventories
- ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
- +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
- Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Asia, – slight negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields lower Currencies: USA –.13%
·
News: USA Final services PMI 945ET; EUR Retail
sales -.2% m/m; German factory orders -11.7% m/m; CDN: BOC Rate decision
Stocks: Positive Earnings GTLB +5.6%; Negative
Earnings ZS -1% ASAN -4.3% PLAB -8%; Movers ROKU
+10.3%; layoff bump GOGO +6.8% buyback boost, high short
interest name, LUV -4% airlines are warning on margin due to oil
Overview: USA SPY at 448.2, support 448 & 445 and
resistance 455 . SPY expected to move +/- 0.65. QQQ at 377 with
resistance at 380 and support at 375 372 365 360 . QQQ expected
to move +/- 2.0. Macro set-up is mildly positive with US$ and yields
lower, but European data continuing to weaken. USA indices are mild risk-off
but Russell is outperforming, and ARKK is leading, so may see bounces in the
sectors which were hit on Tues. Tues was marked by very low breadth and
S&P500 was supported by a few stocks. Russell 2000 is at the bottom of the
expected move for the week and hence at a bounce or breakdown level. SPY is
below the key 450 level with little short term support below. SPY is in a short
term downtrend which started Fri and risk for continuation lower until 450
recaptured. META and GOOGL are the only positive mega caps which is a risk into
the open.
· Stocks to watch: XLP, ROKU, META, DXCM, AAPL, LUV, ZS, Spec Names: ROKU, GTLB, GOGO,
Pre-800ET
Earnings: ASAN, GTLB, PLAB, ZS
Indices: ARKK, TLT, VXX, KWEB, euro, /btc, JETS, USO, XLK, QQQ, XLF
S&P500: DXCM, FSLR, GIS, STZ, MRNA, KR, LUV, D, CCL, UAL, ALLR, DAL, NCLH
IWM: GOGO, SMTC, AI, HQY, PLAB, ASAN
WSB: AI, NET
Movers: ROKU, GTLB, BEKE, TOST, DXCM, MP, MANU, AI, EQNR, CHWY, TTD, ENB, PLAB, EURN, ASAN, LUV, SQ, D, CCL, UAL, SNAP
Trade Idea: MSOS
Tues idea repeated today. Momentum is strong and call buyers raising strikes to 9 and 10. Risky space so care required. Premarket high 8.75 can be used for a momentum trade or pullback >=8