Swing Trade Idea – September 15, 2023
Date: Sept 15, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
● ‘div’ – dividend
● ‘m/m’ – month over month
● ‘y/y’ – year over year
● ‘Inven’ – inventories
● ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
● +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
● Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mild Positive equity global set-up
• Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
• Yields: Yields higher Currencies: USA -.1%
•
News: USA: Empire State mfg 8:30 AM ET,
Industrial Prod 9:15 AM ET; Consumer Sentiment 7:00 PM ET China: Retail
sales and Industrial production better than expected.
Stocks: ADBE -3.5% weaker forecast; AMAT -2% TSM cutting capital due to semi demand concerns F -0.63%, GM -0.3%, STLA +0.96%, TSLA +1% UAW strike, MSOS +6% momentum continues, ARM +.25% big
move Thursday
Overview: USA SPY 449.3 with support at 445, 443, and resistance at 450,
455. SPY expected move +/- 2.1, QQQ 377.9 with resistance at 377, 380 and
support at 375, 370, and 365. QQQ expected move +/- 2.5. Premarket set-up is
neutral with global equities positive, long yields higher and US$ slightly
lower. US equities are flat into a major Opex with $3.4T of notional options
expiring which can increase daily moves and increase movement next week. SPX
4500 and SPY 450 are major levels which should act as magnets today. TSM news
is weighing on semiconductor names premarket. ADBE is moving lower premarket
and may weigh on cloud stocks. Earnings were ok (just like ORCL) but stock has
run massively more than the earnings. UAW strike is only slightly affecting the
stocks with STLA moving higher. TSLA is one to watch today, very extended with
out of the money call options expiring. Potential for gamma squeeze higher or
alternatively a fade later in the day.
• Stocks to watch TSLA, SLV, C, ADBE, AMAT, AMZN
• Spec Names ARM, MSOS
Pre-800ET
Earnings ADBE, CPRT, LEN
Indices MSOS, GDX, EFA, GLD, KRE, EEM, DBC, XLF, SOXX, TLT, SMH, VXX, /btc
S&P500 WRK, AAP, KEY, EL, ADBE, KLAC, AMAT, F, LRCX, GM
IWM APLS, SHAK, FRO
WSB NIO, F
Movers U, APLS, NIO, FRO, MT, WRK, XPEV, TCOM, KEY, RIO, AZN, UBS, RADI, GFI, ASML, ADBE, AMAT, F, CRH, GM
Trade Idea: MSOS
MSOS continues to advance with strong momentum. Discussions are underway yet again for a bill to update the SAFE banking act. MSOS is a very risky ETF which holds USA cannabis companies. Calls are building at 10, 12, 14 for Oct expiration.