Swing Trade Idea – October 13, 2023
Date: Oct 13, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields lower Currencies: USA -.02%
· News: USA: FOMC Harker 9ET; U of M Consumer confidence 10ET China CPI and PPI falling UK: mfg data weak
· Stocks: UNH +1.2%, WFC +2.3%, JPM +1.0%, C +.7%, BLK -1.5% EPS reports. Bank earnings are better than expected, benefiting from higher rates and growing credit card balances. Gold, silver and miners bid. GFI +4%
·
Overview: USA SPY 433 with support at 430 and resistance at 435 and
440. SPY expected move +/- 2.85, QQQ 368.5 with resistance at 370 and
support at 365 and 360. QQQ expected move +/- 3.22. Global indices
are weak, but yields have fallen. FAANGMT stocks are weak, but banks,
energy and healthcare insurance are supporting the S&P500. Indices
are negative gamma so expect sharp intraday moves. If the market moves
lower on the open watch for reaction at daily expected move and gamma level for
acceleration or bounce. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(436.51-430.81), QQQ (373.15-366.71), IWM (173.53-169.87). Consumer confidence
10ET will be market moving.
Stocks to watch WFC, SLV, HAL, UNH, NFLX, AMD
Spec Names GFI, DG, IMVT
Pre-800ET
Earnings UNH, JPM, WFC, C, PGR, PNC, BLK
Indices USO, TLT, GDX, XLE, GLD, VXX, XOP, KRE, KWEB, EFA, QQQ, faangmt, XLK, XPH
S&P500 DG, APA, WFC, HAL, SLB, WDC, EOG, DVN, UNH, SEDG, FTNT, BA, NFLX, META, AAL, TSLA, AMZN, TSCO, AMD
IWM IMVT, SAVE, IONQ
WSB AMC, BA
Movers EHANG, DG, GFI, IMVT, BP, AU, INFY, WFC, DVN, OXY, GOLD, SPR, JD, BA, NVO, BILI, FUTU, NFLX, UBS, PDD, AMC, SE
Trade Idea: JPM
JPM is
trading higher post earnings. Financials may be used to support
S&P500 so there is potential for continuation. Premarket high 147.4
and support at 145.
Potential long above premarket highs or pullback > 146. Likely
resistance at 150 from calls. WFC and C are other names to watch.