Swing Trade Idea – October 26, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields higher Currencies: USA +.25%
· News: USA: GDP, Durable goods 830ET Europe: ECB rate decision 815ET
·
Stocks: F +2.5% UAW agreement HSY +2.3% EPS FLEX
+7.8% META -3.9% EPS MAT -10% HAS -13% ALGN -23% eps
Overview: USA SPY 415.1 support 415 410 and resistance
420 425. SPY expected move +/- 3.8 QQQ 347.3 with resistance 350 360 and
support 345. QQQ expected move +/- 4.4. Ahead of GDP print USA
indices are lower with faangmt leading to downside. US$ and yields are higher
which is negative for equities but GDP will be market moving. S&P500
broke a major support level Wed and with negative gamma, volatility is
elevated. Daily expected move and gamma levels are important to watch today for
support and resistance. Weakness in FAANGMT is an issue, with stocks being sold
despite good earnings, indicating distribution. Indices are oversold so always
potential for short squeeze or breakdown. Today daily expected move levels: SPY
(421.3-413.8) QQQ (354.7-345.9), IWM (167.1-160.4) SPX(4224.5-4149.0).
Stocks to watch: F, GM, HSY, NEM, META, GOOGL, AMZN, ALGN, MXL, USO,
Spec Names GFI
Pre-800ET
Earnings: HSY, STM, EW, MAT, META,
BMY, CARR, CMCSA, HAS, KVUE, LUV, MO, RCL, TSCO, UPS
Indices: VXX, UUP, GDX, GLD, USO, ARKK, FDN, EEM, ARKF, QQQ, XLY, XLE, FAANGMT, SMH, XLI, XLK, XLV, TLT
S&P500: F, KDP, HSY, GM, NEM, ALGN, HAS, EW, TSCO, ANET, LUV, META, BMY, UPS, KVUE, CARR, GOOGL, NVDA, CMCSA, AMD, MRO
IWM: FWRD, MXL, RIOT, SAVE, IONQ, AI
WSB: F, RIOT, PLTR, COIN, TSLA, NVDA, UPST, RIVN, AI
Movers: EDR, FWRD, FLEX, STM, AU, GFI, STM, F, KDP, XPEV, TAL, HSY, ASML, GM, ALGN, MXL, HAS, MAT, VKTX, EW, TSCO, LUV, SAVE, ANET, SE, META, BMY, RIOT, UPS
Trade Idea: META
META down after an earnings beat and positive guidance but concern that some softness since the mideast events. META is bouncing in premarket with 300 potential resistance. Straddle approach today with potential long > 300 with targets 305, 310 and potential fade < 295. May see a dip and bounce so will need to be nimble.