Swing Trade Idea – November 14, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
· Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Long Yields lower Currencies: USA -.06%
· News: USA:
CPI 8:30ET; EUR: GDP -.1% q/q; ZEW 9.8% vs 6.1%
Stocks: HD +.9% SE -11% ONON -9% CSIQ -13% Earnings
reactions
Overview: USA SPY 440.6 support 437.5 435 and resistance
441 445 450 SPY expected move +/- 3.3 QQQ 378.2 with
resistance 378.8 380 385 and support 375 370. QQQ expected move
+/- 3.7. *** Post CPI *** USA CPI 0.0% m/m below expectations leading to
the expected drop in yields, US$ and move higher in commodities and USA listed
stocks. Riskier equities tend to benefit and currently IWM and Nasdaq stocks
are moving the most. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (443.5-436.9
QQQ (380.9-373.7), IWM (170.9-167.4) SPX (4444.35-4378.75).
· Stocks to watch TSLA, HD, TECK, KTOS, SNAP, CSIQ, ONON, SE
· Spec Names IONQ, PLUG, SHOP, NET, UPST
Pre-800ET
Earnings HD, BZ, SE, CSIQ, ONON,
CAMT, VIPS, ENR
Indices EWZ, ARKK, GDX, XLY, JETS, SOXX, TLT, QQQ, /btc, KWEB, USO, XLV, VXX, UUP
S&P500 TSLA, MOS, CTLT, KHC, TTWO, VFC, HD, CF
IWM KTOS, AMRC, SGRY, HLF, FRO, MSTR, ENR
WSB TSLA, MSTR, COIN
Movers SNAP, TECK, KTOS, XPEV, FMS, BZ, BEKE, MOS, TSLA, KHC, AU, PBR,
TSEM, CSIQ, SE, ONON, CAMT, EQNR, VIPS, FRO, AER, DV, LI, COIN
Trade Idea: TSLA
Low CPI print is leading to short covering and outperformance of the most beaten down stocks. TSLA was strong Monday and leading Tues. Expected daily move 229.4-218.1 currently above the expected move so may run with 235 240,245 targets. Very stretched so reversal possible