Swing Trade Idea – November 27, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Asia – Slight negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Long Yields lower Currencies: USA -.16%
· News: EUR: Lagarde 9ET
·
Stocks: AMZN
+.9%, SHOP +3.6%, Black Friday Online Sales: TSLA
+.87%, NVDA +.17%, It’s Monday: NEM +.85%, GFI +2%, PAAS +1.35%, Precious
metals: AFRM +3.7%, UPST +1.4%, Black Friday Sales Good
Overview: USA SPY 454.9; support 450 and resistance 455 457.3;
SPY expected move +/- 1.97; QQQ 389.5 with resistance 390 392 and support
388 385, expected move 2.5. USA are rising premarket as usual
Monday after dipping in the Asian session, leaving large cap indices flat c.f.
Friday. Macro setup is positive with long yields lower and US$ lower.
Best performing sectors are online retail & payment with Black Friday sales
good and precious metals with the macro set-up. OPEC+ meeting delay is weighing
on energy. SPY and QQQ at major gamma levels which may lead to a range day
Today daily expected move levels: SPY (457.3-455.3) QQQ
(392.0-387), IWM (181-177.7) SPX(4579-4539).
Stocks to watch: AMZN, SHOP, AFRM, NEM, FL Spec Names: GFI, RIOT, MARA
Pre-800ET
Earnings: HTHT, BMA
Indices: GDX, GLD, TLT, PRNT, VXX, ARKF, EWZ, /btc, USO, KWEB, XLE, IWM, ICLN, XLF, UUP,
S&P500: CCI, AMZN, NEM, CCL, PYPL, WMT, GEHC, KEY, GOOGL,
IWM: ARVN, FL, MARA,
LTHM
Movers: CCI, AFRM, SHOP, GFI, AU, ADYEY, GOLD, ARVN, PAAS, NEM, AMZN, M,
ZS, CRWD, FL, GEHC, TAL, MARA, GMAB, RRC, LTHM, KEY, XPEV, LI, COIN, NTES,
JWN, SQM, JD,
Trade Idea: AMZN
AMZN is the leading MAG7 stock with strong Black Friday Sales. Premarket high 148.5. Pullback > 148 is a potential long with 150 target. Below 148, risk of pullback to 147. Range for today (149.25-144.2)