Swing Trade Idea – November 6, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields higher Currencies: USA -.11%
· News: USA: Loan officer survey 14ET; EUR: German factory orders 0.2% vs 1.9% previous; Services PMI 47.9; CDN: PMI 10ET 54 expected
·
Stocks: RYAAY +9%, BNTX +2.75% DISH -6%,
SATS -2.8%, Earnings reactions
Overview: USA SPY 435.3 support 435 and resistance 436.3 437.4
440. SPY expected move +/- 2.65 QQQ 366.2 with resistance 369 370
371 and support 365. QQQ expected move +/- 3.3. USA indices flat
premarket with global indices mixed. Long yields higher and US$ flat is a
negative set-up. Indices made 2 standard deviation moves last week and are
technically stretched. Indices are now positive gamma which means that moves
will be smaller and there is less upward fuel from puts. Indices are now call
heavy which can act as resistance but can can squeeze if call buying comes in.
Risk reward now tilted to risk; however CTA buying, corporate buybacks and fund
managers reaching for bonuses can lead to higher levels. China names and
selective spec tech are strong premarket, may be a trap or a continuation of
short positions unwinding. SPY 435 is an important reference level and SPX 4300
a major bull/bear level. Today daily expected move levels: SPY
(437.3-432) QQQ (371-364.4), IWM (176.7-172.3) SPX(4384.8-4331).
Stocks to watch: TSLA, NVDA, CRSP, UBER, AAPL, UNG,
Spec Names: CRSP,
RIOT, LI, IONQ,
Pre-800ET
Earnings: RYAAY, BNTX, KOS, CEG, DISH, SATS
Indices: /btc, KWEB, EEM, LIT, USO, SLX, TAN, XLE, XBI, ARKK, JETS, IBB, VXX, GLD, TLT, GDX
S&P500: TSLA, KEY, MRNA, ENPH, PARA, FTNT
IWM: RIOT, MSTR, IONQ, CELH, TGTX, AI, SMCI, APLS
WSB: AMC, RIOT, MSTR, TSLA, COIN, UPST, BABA, RIVN, AI, NVDA
Movers: LI, CRSP, BEKE, FUTU, BILI, BNTX, XPEV, CELH, EDU, IONQ, CVNA, JD, U, MLTX, BMBL, SPHR, APLS, PARA, FTNT, ALB,
Trade Idea: TSLA
It’s Monday so TSLA is in play plus some news about a German plant. Long idea > 225 and fade < 222.5. Resistance at 226-230. Support 220.