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  • Swing Trade Idea – December 13, 2023

    Date: Dec 13, 2023 

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend 

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing 

    ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    **govt – government 

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

     

    Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Asia Neutral equity global set-up

    ·         Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals 

    ·         Yields: 30Y Bond +26% Currencies: USA +.06%

    ·         News: USA: PPI 8:30ET; FOMC 14:00ET UK: GDP -0.3% m/m vs -0.1% EUR: Industrial Prod -0.7% m/m

    ·          Stocks: PFE -7% Guidance cut VRTX +7% Positive results TTWO +3% added to Nasi 100
    Overview: USA SPY 464.6 with support at 461 and 460, and resistance at 465 and 466.85, SPY expected move +/- 2.75.  QQQ 399.57 with resistance at 400 and 401.95, and support at 395, QQQ expected move 3.3.  Global indices muted ahead of USA PPI and FOMC meeting.  Macro mixed with yields lower but US$ higher and crude oil higher.  MAG7 mixed with MSFT and AAPL leading, and TSLA lagging but overall MAG7 outperforming.  QQQ is above the expected move for the week driven by semis which are well above the expected move.  PPI premarket will be a market mover as will the FOMC. Powell is expected to talk hawkishly so potential for a pullback but drop in IV post meeting and overall positive gamma may lead to a bounce.  SPY 455 is the key bull/bear level.  Watch the daily expected move levels.  Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (466.85-461.35), QQQ (401.97-395.4), IWM (189.1-184.9), and SPX(4671.2-4646.2). 

    Stocks to watch MSFT, AAPL, VRTX, TTWO, PFE, MRNA, BNTX, TSLA

    Spec Names RBLX, PLAB, ABNB   

    Pre-800ET
    Earnings ABM, PLB

    Indices /USO, faangmt, TLT, IBB, XLK, QQQ, XLE, XLF, UUP, KWEB, XLB, EEM, VXX, ICLN, ARKK

    S&P500 VRTX, TTWO, ABNB, KVUE, LEN, ALB, PFE, LIN, MRNA, LUV, SEDG 

    IWM SAVA, TH, RCM
    Movers VRTX, TTWO, AZN, TAL, RBLX, BUR, ABNB, STLA, SAVA, PFE, LIN, MRNA, AU, BNTX, XPEV, LUV, WDS, GFI, FUTU 





    Trade Idea: MSFT

    MAG7 stocks have been sold down due to Nasdaq rebalance.  MSFT is a potential bounce candidate, now above the gap from Dec 4.  Daily expected move range 380-369. 

     

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