Swing Trade Idea – December 13, 2023
Date: Dec 13, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +26% Currencies: USA +.06%
· News: USA: PPI 8:30ET; FOMC 14:00ET UK: GDP -0.3% m/m vs -0.1% EUR: Industrial Prod -0.7% m/m
·
Stocks: PFE -7% Guidance
cut VRTX +7% Positive results TTWO +3% added to Nasi 100
Overview: USA SPY 464.6 with support at 461 and 460, and resistance at 465
and 466.85, SPY expected move +/- 2.75. QQQ 399.57 with resistance at 400
and 401.95, and support at 395, QQQ expected move 3.3. Global indices
muted ahead of USA PPI and FOMC meeting. Macro mixed with yields lower
but US$ higher and crude oil higher. MAG7 mixed with MSFT and AAPL
leading, and TSLA lagging but overall MAG7 outperforming. QQQ is above
the expected move for the week driven by semis which are well above the
expected move. PPI premarket will be a market mover as will the FOMC.
Powell is expected to talk hawkishly so potential for a pullback but drop in IV
post meeting and overall positive gamma may lead to a bounce. SPY 455 is
the key bull/bear level. Watch the daily expected move levels.
Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (466.85-461.35), QQQ (401.97-395.4),
IWM (189.1-184.9), and SPX(4671.2-4646.2).
Stocks to watch MSFT, AAPL, VRTX, TTWO, PFE, MRNA, BNTX, TSLA
Spec Names RBLX, PLAB, ABNB
Pre-800ET
Earnings ABM, PLB
Indices /USO, faangmt, TLT, IBB, XLK, QQQ, XLE, XLF, UUP, KWEB, XLB, EEM, VXX, ICLN, ARKK
S&P500 VRTX, TTWO, ABNB, KVUE, LEN, ALB, PFE, LIN, MRNA, LUV, SEDG
IWM SAVA, TH, RCM
Movers VRTX, TTWO, AZN, TAL, RBLX, BUR, ABNB, STLA, SAVA, PFE, LIN,
MRNA, AU, BNTX, XPEV, LUV, WDS, GFI, FUTU
Trade Idea: MSFT
MAG7 stocks have been sold down due to Nasdaq rebalance. MSFT is a potential bounce candidate, now above the gap from Dec 4. Daily expected move range 380-369.