Swing Trade Idea – December 21, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
· Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight Positive equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.05% Currencies: USA -.37%
· News: CDN: Retail Sales 830ET UK: CBI realized sales -32 vs -11 USA: GDP, UE claims, Philly Fed 830ETET
· Stocks:
KMX +7% MU +6.9% EPS WDC +3% sympathy to MU ENPH
+1.9% FSLR +1.8% solars
Overview: USA SPY 470.7 shows support of 470 and 465 with resistance of
472 and 475. I expect the SPY to move +/- 3.4. QQQ 406.1 displays resistance of
406.4 and 410 with support of 405 and 400. I expecte the QQQ to
move 3.3. USA indices bounced after Wed late afternoon 0DTE led drawdown. Macro
factors are supportive with the US$ lower and yields lower. Risk-on names are
leading and should the bounce continue, I will look for high short interest
names to be strong. Caveats: bounce has been strong already, USA economic data
will be released 830ET. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (471.7-
464.8) QQQ (406.4-399.8), IWM (198.3-194.3) SPX(4732.6-4664.2).
· Stocks to watch GOOGL CRM PARA FDX AMZN GIS UPS
· Spec Names MARA CLSK
Pre-800ET
Earnings MU BB
CTAS PAYX CCL KMX APOG
Indices KWEB ARKK /btc SOXX SMH XBI EWZ GDX TAN IWM TAN EEM ICLN USO VXX UUP TLT
S&P500 KMX MU WDC ENPH FSLR TSLA ON KEY BA CZR AMD F NVDA ALB AMAT PARA WRK
IWM IMVT CLSK
MARA RIOT IONQ NOVA LMND AI MSTR ENVX FRO SMCI SAVA
Movers IMVT MU KMX CLSK MARA HUT CVNA WDC AFRM RIOT OPRA RUN UPST BILI
YPF IONQ ZIM SAVA
Trade Idea: IWM
IWM is the leading USA index as markets rebound after Wed late day drop. Pre-market and ahead of econ data high short interest names are leading which is positive for IWM. Premarket high 198.5 can be used for a momentum long with target 200. Potential fade < 198 with targets 197, 195