Swing Trade Idea – December 27, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.25% Currencies: USA -.08%
· News: USA: Richmond mfg 10ET Japan: Housing starts -8.5% y/y
·
Stocks: Bitcoin popping on
notion that SEC will approve bitcoin ETFs [COIN MSTR MARA RIOT BTBT] Biotech
remains hot XBI +0.8%; Spec tech up ARKK +0.6% [COIN DNA CRSP TSLA HOOD
SHOP]
Overview: USA SPY 476 support 475 473.8 and resistance 477.6
480. SPY expected move +/- 1.9 QQQ 411.2 with resistance
413.2 415 and support 410 408.6; expected move 2.3. Global indices
are up premarket after many closed Dec26. Macro setup is bullish with long
yields and US$ lower. USA equities are favouring small & mid caps over
large cap with leadership from semis, biotechs and bitcoin. No major data
releases or analyst changes so expecting light volume day with risk of sharp
intraday moves controlled by 0DTE flow. Positioning is currently uber bullish
which is the risk if negative news flow should appear. Today daily expected
move levels: SPY (477.6-473.8) QQQ (413.2-408.6), IWM (206-202.2)
SPX(4794-4756).
Stocks to watch: TSLA, INTC, ZIM, AAPL, COIN, TM, ZIM
Spec Names: CHRS, HIVE, MARA, CLSK, MSOS
Pre-800ET
Earnings Indices: /btc, MSOS,
ARKK, XBI, TLT, SOXX, IBB, GDX, EEM, SMH, KRE, VXX, EWZ,
HACK, XLI,
S&P500: COST
IWM: CYTK,
MARA, CLSK, RIOT, IMGN
Movers: CYTK, BUR, BTDR, HUT, MARA, CLCK, RIOT, COIN, ZIM, GFI, AZN, AA,
STX, NTES, TRMD, HOLI, KT, COST, IMGN
Trade Idea: MSOS
MSOS leading in premarket today with follow through day following recent presidential pardon of people convicted of personal marijuana possession renewing notion of Federal changes in Q1 2024. MSOS and cannabis names can potentially benefit in early 2024 from move into losers which were tax sold in 2023. Premarket high 7.28 can be used for a momentum long with resistance 7.67, 8 and support 7. Call open interest building at 8, 10, 12. Potential short term mover as well as longer term. GLASF best looking individual name and TLRY popular with traders