Swing Trade Idea – December 29, 2023
Date: Dec 29, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.42% Currencies: USA +.1%
· News: USA: Chicago PMI 945ET Eur: ISpanish CPI 3.1% y/y vs 3.2%
·
Stocks: NVDA new China
chip BA China fleet flying but loose bolt news:)
Overview: USA SPY 476.7 with support at 474.4 and 475, and resistance at
479.1 and 480; SPY expected move +/- 2.5. QQQ 411.1 with resistance at
413.9 and 415, and support at 410 and 408.8; QQQ expected move 2.55.
Global indices are relatively flat with USA indices marginally declining
premarket. Macro setup is negative with long yields higher and US$
higher. Semis are outperforming on NVDA China chip release (third time
for this). Bitcoin bounce lifting related names [MARA RIOT HIVE]. US$,
long rate increase is usually negative for precious metals. Oil bump usually
negative for airlines and cruise lines. Oil is below support hence
caution that the premarket bounce in oil may be slippery. Volume should
be low and hence large intraday moves are likely, especially intraday.
JPM and other collared ETFs are rolling today which can lead to volatility at
EOD. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (479.1-474.4), QQQ
(413.9-408.8), IWM (206.1-202), and SPX(4807-4759.7).
Stocks to watch NVDA, AMD, ARM, TSLA
Spec Names MARA, HUT, GRFS, BOWL, LYFT
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices /btc, USO, XLE, DBC, XBI, MSOS, UUP, SMH, TLT, IWM, GLD, KRE
S&P500 UBER
IWM MARA, LZ,
EIOT, BOWL, GEO
Movers LZ, GRFS, HUT, MARA, SQM, GFI, CNHI, LI, BILI, RIOT, NTES,
SHELL, BOWL, ELP, GEO, LYFT, UBER
Trade Idea: TSLA
TSLA moved to the bottom of the daily expected move Thursday. Straddle approach today: long > 255 and targets 257.5, 260 and fade < 252.5 with targets 250 and lower.