Swing Trade Idea – January 09, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.38% Currencies: USA +.21%
· News: Europe:
German ind prod -0.7% m/m; UE rate 6.4% Japan: Tokyo Core CPI 2.1%
Stocks: BA -.8% loose bolts; MTCH +13% activist investor JNPR +23% HPE
acquisition; Samsung warning on lower smartphone and semi demand. MCHP warning on
lower chip demand. U major layoff to reduce costs.
Overview: USA SPY 472.7 with support at 472.5 and 470, and resistance at
475 and 476.7; SPY expected move +/- 2.1. QQQ 402.8 with resistance at
405 and 407.7, and support at 402.3 and 400; QQQ expected move 2.7.
Global indices lower after Monday squeeze with USA indices weaker and testing
the lower daily expected move. Macro factors are negative with yields and
US$ higher along with oil. Risk today is potential for a larger down move
if daily expected move is breached. NVDA is the only positive MAG7,
continuation after a major gamma squeeze Monday. Breaches of daily
expected moves can lead to outsized moves. Today’s daily expected move levels:
SPY (476.7-472.5), QQQ (407.7-402.3), IWM (199.6-193.8), and
SPX(4784.5-4742.5).
Stocks to watch JNPR, NVDA, HPE, MCHP, AAPL, JD
Spec Names MTCH, U, FRO
Pre-800ET
Earnings JEF, ACI, AYI, TLRY, NEOG
Indices USO, DBC, XLE, XOP, GLD, VXX, HACK, KWEB, EEM, IWM, TLT, EFA, IGV, SOXX, KRE, EWZ, XLY, XLF, /btc
S&P500 JNPR, MTCH, UAL, MRO, HPE, MCHP, VZ, PYPL, NFLX, T, ON, MRNA
IWM BMBL,
FRO, EXTR, TGTX, SAVE, STNE, CLSK, MSTR
Movers JNPR, MTCH, SRPT, U, BMBL, FRO, CRWD, UAL, RIVN, NVDA, GRFS, HPE,
TGTX, JD, MCHP, STM, GFI, LI, BABA, ON, MT, PYPL, NFLX, T
Trade Idea: QQQ
QQQ moved above the weekly expected move Monday with a squeeze of 2 standard deviations of the daily expected move. Consider fade < 402 with target 400. Consider long > 403.4 with targets 403 and 405.