Swing Trade Idea – January 22, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mild Positive equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.7% Currencies: USA -.08%
·
News: USA:Conf Board Leading Index 10ET China :
Rates unchanged
Stocks: WDC +3% MS top pick EPS this week PYPL +3% Fri idea
of day INTC +1.9% EPS this week BA -1% FAA ADM -15% Accounting
probe CFO on leave
·
Overview: USA SPY 484.4 support 480 and resistance 485.
SPY expected move +/- 2.4 QQQ 424.7 with resistance 425 and
support 420 ; expected move 3.5. USA indices are close to top of daily
expected move and technically stretched to upside. Long yields are lower and
US$ flat which is supportive to tech stocks which continue to push higher.
Premarket MAG7 and spec tech are leading. China is down on failure to cut rates
which is weighing on commodities and in theory not great for global economy but
irrelevant for profitless tech and AI. USA indices are in the window of less
support where options positioning provides less support and resistance so
larger moves are possible. Minimal economic data today so market is in the hand
of 0DTE options. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(484.8-482.4), QQQ (424.6-417.7), IWM (194.4-190.4),
SPX(4864-4815.5).
Stocks to watch: WDC, PYPL, INTC, TSLA, META, BA, Spec Names: SMCI, PLTR
Pre-800ET
Earnings: BOH
Indices: SOXX, ARKK, SMH,KRE, TLT, XLK, QQQ, IWM, XBI, HACK, faangmt, KWEB, LIT, /btc, VXX, EEM, GDX, EWZ, USO
S&P500:
WDC, PYPL, INTC, MU, AAL, ON, PANW, QCOM, AMAT, META, ENPH,
NVDA, ADM, BA
Movers: ARM, NS, S, SMCI, FSLY, SEDG, PYPL, AFRM, UPST, ZS,
SHLS, CELH, PATH, AI, U, STNE, PLTR, ADM, CORT, BEKE, LI, JD, BIDU, PDD,
RIO, MATA, RIOT, BA
Trade Idea: PYPL
PYPL has been attracting unusual option activity along with many tech related names. Earnings Feb 7 with call wall at 65 which can act as resistance or acceleration above. Stock is very extended with premarket high 68.5 which can be used for a momentum long or a pullback >= 65. Upside targets 70, 72, 75. Weekly expected move +/-4