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  • Swing Trade Idea – January 23, 2024

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend 

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing 

    ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government 

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

     

    Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mild Negative equity global set-up

    ·         Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals 

    ·         Yields: 30Y Bond -.5% Currencies: USA +.06%

    ·         News: USA: Richmond Fed mfg index China: Equity market stimulation Japan: CPI 2.6% vs 2.7% y/y BOJ unchanged
    Stocks:
    RTX +4%, PG +.8%, HAL +2%, SYF +.6%, ERIC +.7%, UAL +6%, VZ +4%, MMM -7.5%, JNJ -.18%, LOGI -7%, GE -3.3%, DHI, EPS 

    ·         Overview: USA SPY 484 with support at 483, 480, and resistance at 485; SPY expected move +/- 2.2.  QQQ 422.6 with resistance at 425 and support at 420; QQQ expected move 3. USA large cap indices are flat with small caps outperforming similar to Monday. Macro factors are negative with long yields and US$ higher and G7 indices lower. China stocks are up on stimulus which is providing a boost to commodities. Israel chatter on cease fire is weighing on oil and shippers; however requires Hamas to agree. Strong move Monday in laggards like small caps is continuing today and is either the start of a rotation or the end of the December surge. IWM is at the top of the weekly expected move so potential for breakout or rejection.  USA indices are in the window of less support where options positioning provides less support and resistance so larger moves are possible. Minimal economic data today so market is in the hand of 0DTE options.  Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (485.7-481.2), QQQ (424.7-418.7), IWM (199.4-193.6), and SPX(4872.7-4828.1). 

    Stocks to watch RTX, NFLX, UAL, ENPH, BABA, DHI, MMM, COIN

    Spec Names TKO 

    Pre-800ET
    Earnings PG, HAL, RTX, SYF, ERIC, UAL, VZ, MMM, JNJ, GE, DHI 

    Indices KWEB, TAN, JETS, ICLN, IWM, EWZ, GDX, ARKK, GLD, /BTC, VXX, ITB, TLT, USO, EFA, euro 

    S&P500 UAL, VZ, RTX, ENPH, AAL, LUV, WDC, DAL, NFLX, HAL, MMM, DHI, VLTO, IVZ, GE, CLT, LEN, VTR, PM
    Movers TKO, UAL, NOVA, EDR, NTES, VZ, RTX, LI, ENPH, WOLF, JD, AA, TAL, AU, RUN, GFI, FUTU, AAL, WDC, BABA, DWAC, MMM, DHI, COIN, GE, MARA, MSTR, FRO, BE, RIOT, GOGL

     

    Trade Idea: IWM

    IWM is either benefiting from a rotation from MAG7 or signaling the end of the Nov1 rally as shorts close/ Leading premarket with premarket high 198.4 and upside targets 199.4 and 200. A move > 200 brings 205 as a target. Pullback > 197.5 could be used to buy the dip and failure could be a signal for a short.

     

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