Swing Trade Idea – February 01, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight positive equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.8% Currencies: USA +.26%
· News: USA:
UE claims 830ET; ISM mfg PMI 10ET Europe: CPI above expectations China:Caixin
mfg PMI 50.8
Stocks: MRK +1.8% ETN +3% RACE +6% RCL +3% CTVA +5.5% ALGN +12.5% NXT +18% QCOM -1.3%
HON -2.2% BDX -2.6% WOLF -4.9% eps BA
+1.4%
Overview: USA SPY 484.6 displays support of 483 and 480 with resistance of
485 and 486. I expect the SPY to move +/- 3.3 QQQ 418.9 with
resistance of 420 and support of 416.8, 415, and 412.8; in my
opinion, it is expected to move 4.2. USA indices sold down post FOMC as Powell
dispelled notion of March rate cuts and QT tapering. USA indices have bounced
with MAG7 rebounding with spec tech and high short interest leading. A bounce
after the decline is normal and large cap indices need to reclaim major gamma
levels to have confidence in the bounce continuing: SPY 485 QQQ 420.
Short cover and put closing is the catalyst for the bounce but will be
temporary. ISM data at 10ET may be market moving. Today daily expected
move levels: SPY (486.1-479.6) QQQ (421.2-412.8), IWM (197.4-188.4)
SPX(4878-4813).
Stocks to watch AMZN ETN RACE CTVA RCL HON QCOM WOLF Spec Names ALGN DWAC
Pre-800ET
Earnings MRK SHEL ETN MO RACE TT RCL
CTVA ALGN BALL NXT QCOM HON SNY WOLF
Indices ICLN ARKK KWEB IWM USO XBI faangmt SOXX KRE VXX /BTC HYG AGG
S&P500
Movers NXT ALGN GOOS ETSY NSC DB CTVA RUN PTGX ARRY BE DWAC RCL CCJ TWLO
UPST ING CAH WOLF HON SHOP QCOM SNY SWK
Trade Idea: AMZN
AMZN is reporting earnings after the close and hence in play today. Premarket high 157.5 potential momentum long. AMZN is extended premarket so potential pullback to 156 where bounce possible and below potential that it will be sold down into the print. Expected move after the print +/- 8.2