Swing Trade Idea – March 12, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
· Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.28% Currencies: USA$ -.02%
· News: USA:
USA CPI 830ET
Stocks: ORCL+13% MNSO+11% BZ+6.9% ADM+2.9% ONON-16.5%
IGT-2% EPS ACAD-15% phase 3 fail
Overview: USA SPY 512.6 support 510 508 506.6 505 and
resistance 515 516 520 SPY expected move +/- 4.7. QQQ 439.5 with
resistance 440 443 435 and support 435 431.5 430 ; expected
move +/-6. USA indices are positive ahead of CPI print led by QQQ. ORCL up
substantially on meeting earnings but discussion of AI and potential NVDA deal
lifting AI related names and cloud software names. LUV warning of lower
traffic weighing on airlines and may spill over to lodging. Implied
volatility is elevated into the CPI print, which should provide support on
dips. Pay attention to daily expected moves and NVDA 850 as breaches can lead
to larger moves. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(516-506.6) QQQ (443.4-431.4), IWM (208.4-202) SPX(5165-5071). SPX
Call wall (resistance) shifted to 5200 and Put Wall (support) to 5040.
Stocks to watch ORCL NVDA AMD META ONON LUV Spec Names
MNSO
BILI
Pre-800ET
Earnings ADM MNSO CC KSS ORCL CASY MTN BZ
IDT
Indices KWEB FXI IGV SMH XLK ARKK ARKG QQQ TLT SPY XBI VIX GDX GLD
XLI DIA
S&P500 ORCL MMM ADM
ALB NVDA FCX AVGO LUV AAL BA DAL
Movers ORCL MNSO BZ BEKE ZTO BILI MMM JD DB TCEHY MSTR LI MT ADM PATH PBR ACAD ONON LUV
AAL ASAN RBLX GFI BA
Trade Idea: AAPL
AAPL is potentially putting in a bottom and can benefit if money shifts out of parabolic names like NVDA. Above premarket low 172.8 potential long with target 175 and then 180. High call positions at 175, 180, 185