Swing Trade Idea – March 15, 2024
Date: Mar 15, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.37% Currencies: USA$ -.01%
·
News: USA: Empire state mfg 830ET; Ind Prod 915ET; UofM
Consumer Confidence 10ET CDN: Housing starts 815ET
Stocks: ADBE -11% JBL-9% SMAR-10% PD-8.5% ULTA-8% GCT+4% EPS ISRG FDA
clearance for DaVinci
Overview: USA SPY 513.6 support 513 510 and resistance 515 520
SPY expected move +/- 2.9. QQQ 438 with resistance 440 442 445 and
support 435 ; expected move +/-3.2. USA indices are flat premarket with
QQQ lagging due to fallout from ADBE earnings and continuing weakness in semis.
Huge option expiration today can lead to volatility at the open and the close
as well as next week. Potential flows into AAPL, MSFT, AMZN as a safety
trade should the weakness in NVDA continue. Today daily expected move levels:
SPY (516.3-510.5) QQQ (442.3-435.9), IWM (203.7-200.3) SPX(5178-5123).
Gamma: > 5150 -> 5170, 5200; <5145 ->5140 and lower; 5145-5150 chop
zone.
Stocks to watch NFLX MSFT FCX ADBE Spec Names
MSOS
MDGL
Pre-800ET
Earnings ADBE ULTA WPM SMAR PD PHR JBL BKE GCT
HIBB EH GRPN
Indices BITI SLV TLT EFA GDX EWC KWEB XLV IWM IBIT BITO VIX
IGV ARKF SPY
S&P500 ISRG MU
FCX ADBE JBL ON NEM
Movers MDGL GCT RIVN STLA MU LI UBS FCX HSBC WDS DB CCJ RXRX YUMC ADBE SMAR PD
JBL COIN CLSK MSTR MARA ON RIOT STM NEM TSM
Trade Idea: MNSO
MNSO is a $6B China retailer of life style products. Potential long on breakout over 19.80 or pullback > 19.00 with targets 21 and 22.