Swing Trade Idea – March 21, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.55% Currencies: USA$ +.17%
·
News: USA: UE claims, Philly Fed 8:30 ET; mfg, services PMI
945ET EUR: Mfg PMI 45.7 vs 47; Service PMI 51.1 vs 50.5; AAPL DOJ
anti-trust narrative
Stocks: FIVE-12%, CHWY -2.7%, DRI -4.3%, ASO -10%, FIVE-12%, ACN -6%, MU+16.8%,
KBH+0.4%
Overview: USA SPY 522.9 with support at 520 and 516.8, and resistance at
524 and 525; SPY expected move +/- 3.7. QQQ 448 with resistance at 450
and 447.6, and support at 440; QQQ expected move +/-3.5. USA indices
surged Wednesday post Powell channeling the ghost of Arthur Burns. Indices and
most MAG7 are above the weekly expected move and hence extended with potential
to squeeze as much as 0DTE call buyers allow. QQQ is already above the
daily expected move which can lead to squeeze higher but pullbacks possible.
MU earnings surprise beat with magical incantation of AI lifted semis and AI
related stocks. Moves outside daily expected moves can lead to much
larger moves. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (524.2-516.8), QQQ
(447.6-439.9), IWM (208-203), and SPX(5261-5187.7).
Stocks to watch AMD, MU, SMCI, XBI, AAPL, ACN
Spec Names MNSO, DWAC
Pre-8:00 ET
Earnings MU, ANCTF, FIVE, CHWY, KBH, ACN, BMWYY, DRI, FDS, ASO, WGO, NNDM
Indices IBIT, GDX, ARKK, XBI, GLD, QQQ, IGV, IPO, ARKG, TLT, SPY, XME, VIX
S&P500 MU, WDC, ILMN, STX, SMCI, AMAT, AVGO, AMD, NEM,
HPE, NVDA, ON, INTC, UBER, ACN, DRI, CTSH
Movers MU, IMVT, WDC, SGH, ILMN, VRT, STX, TSM, MNSO, ASML, SMCI, PLTR,
AVGO, DWAC, AI, FIVE, ASO, LI, ACN, BILI, CHWY, DRI, SHAK, INFY
Trade Idea: XBI
XBI is a long idea assuming the stock market casino remains open. Most S&P sectors and MAG7 are extended and can be momentum trades but XBI is a laggard with more room to upside. Risk-on asset. Look for long > premarket high or pull to premarket low.