Swing Trade Idea – March 28, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.2% Currencies: USA$ +.2% Vix: +.2%
·
News: USA: GDP 8:30 ET, UE claims; Chicago PIM 9:45 ET; Pending
home sales , UofM Consumer Sentiment 10:00 ET
UK: GDP q/q -0.3% EUR: German retail sales -1.9% m/m
Stocks: WBA-1% MLKN-15.6% RH+9% EPS AAPL-.44% downgrade;
Overview: USA SPY 522.6 with support at 520 and 518, and resistance at
525; SPY expected move +/- 2.33. QQQ 444.4 with resistance at 445 and
447.9, and support at 441.9 and 440; QQQ expected move +/-2.9. USA
indices are flat after Wednesday late day 0DTE pop. Wednesday was marked
by heavy rotation into non-MAG7 which IMO is rebalancing flows with quarter end
today. Large option expiration which combined with GDP today, PCE tomorrow may
lead to volatility though week post Easter is historically bullish. Levels to
watch on pullback are SPY 520 and QQQ 445. Moves outside daily expected moves
can lead to much larger moves. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(525.5-520.8), QQQ (447.9-441.9), IWM (211.4-207.9), and
SPX(5271.5-5225.5).
Stocks to watch RH, BITO, AAPL, NVDA, WBA
Spec Names CXM, VERU, HOOD, EH
Pre-800ET
Earnings RH WBA
Indices BITO, VIX, GLD, KWEB, FXI, GDX, ARKK, UUP, EFA, TLT,
FXE, XLK
S&P500 TTWO, SMCI, WBA
Movers RH, CXM, GCT, EH, ATAT, LI, SNOW, W, MSTR, BILI, GFI, JD, HSBC,
SMTC, MLKN, UBS, STM, PLTR, WBA, SMCI, ALV, WBA
Trade Idea: VZ
VZ breaking on daily as rotation into laggard at month end. Potential upside to previous highs 42.5, 43. Risk to telecom stocks is rising long yields. May benefit if there is a risk-off move in the equity market some time within our lifetimes 🙂