Swing Trade Idea – April 01, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global
Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight
positive global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.3% Currencies: USA$ +.02% Vix: -.5%
·
News: USA: ISM, PMI, 10ET CDN: BOC business outlook
1030ET
Stocks: MMM -14% $12.5B settlement AAPL Price
target cut; FDX replaced by UPS with USPS
Overview: USA SPY 524 support 523 520 and resistance 525, SPY
expected move +/- 2.7. QQQ 445.1 with resistance 447 and
support 445 442 440 ; expected move +/-3.2. USA indices higher
since Thurs evening and pulling back premarket from close to the daily expected
move. Trading will be light with Canada, Europe, Hong Kong closed so potential
for greater manipulation by 0DTE. Metals are leading with notion that China
will stimulate and global economies may improve. MAG7 premarket bouncing with
AAPL and TSLA lagging on broker comments. Levels to watch on pullback are
SPY 520 and QQQ 445. Moves outside daily expected moves can lead to much larger
moves. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (525.8-520.3), QQQ
(447.2-440.8), IWM (212.2-208.4), SPX(5280-5228.7).
Stocks to watch: NEM, UPS, GOOGL, MSFT, META, TECK, CCJ, MMM, FDX, Spec Names: GFI
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices: VIX, GDX, KWEB, FXI, GLD, IWM, QQQ, XBI, SLV, IBIT, TLT,
UUP
S&P500: NEM, DAL, UPS, FCX, DVN, MU, UAL, MMM, T, FDX,
Movers: SGML, CCJ, BE, GES, LI, SMTC, BILI, JD, DAL, TECK, NEM, GFI, DOC,
UPS, AA, GOLD, ZM, PAAS, MMM, CLSK, MSTR, BILL, MARA, T, FDX, COIN, RIOT, DT
Trade Idea: FDX
FDX is trading lower as UPS is now providing service to USPS. Significant revenue loss but lower margin business. FDX potential bounce opportunity > 285 or below 285, pullback potential to 280. Loss of business may fit well with FDX goal of improving margins whereas it could be negative to UPS.