Swing Trade Idea – April 23, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.33% Currencies: USA$ -.13% Vix: -1.6%
·
News: USA : PMI 945ET; New home sales 10ET EUR:
MFG PMIs < 50 and weakening Services > 50 and improving
JPN: MFG PMI < 50 but improving
Stocks: SAP+3.7%, DHR+6.7%, UPS+.8%, LMT+1%, GE+4.5%, NVS+5%, PEP+.08%,
SPOT+7%, EPS, SHW-4.6%, CDNS-5.6%
Overview: USA SPY 500.6 support 500 499 496.5 495 and resistance
503 505 SPY expected move +/- 3.3. QQQ 419.8 with resistance 420 422.6
425 and support 418 415 ; expected move +/-3.7. USA indices are mixed premarket
with large caps slightly positive and small caps negative. Macro is mixed with
higher yields, lower US$ and lower commodities. MAG7 ex-AAPL, TSLA are bid with
AAPL negative China sales reports continuing to drag. DHR earnings may lift
medical equipment. SPOT may be a mover today. SPX5000, SPY500 are important
levels to hold for bulls Indices are negative gamma, hence look for larger
moves in both directions. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(503-496.5) QQQ (422.6-415), IWM (197-193) SPX(5043-4977).
Stocks to watch: SPOT, NVS, GE, NVDA, AMD, META, AAPL,
Spec Names: SE, PDD, MARA,
Pre-800ET
Earnings: SAP, CDNS, NUE, CLF, PEP, NVS, DHR, GE, PM,
RTX, UPS, LMT, SHW, FCX, SPOT, GM, KMB, HAL, PHM
Indices: KWEB, FXI, XBI, SMH, XLV, XLI, EFA, QQQ, VIX, SLV,
IBIT, XLB, COPX
S&P500: DHR, GE, GM, KMB, AMD, F, FSLR,
META, NVDA, GL, SMCI, LMT, NUE, CDNS, AAL, NEM
Movers: SPOT, NVS, PENN, RBLX, SAP, FUTU, TAL, DDOG, ARM, SE, STLA, PDD,
NEP, CNHI, VRT, NVO, CALX, XRX, BILI, AFRM, AA, CPRI, RIO, CLF, MP, GFI, BHP, AU, AEM,
PAAS
Trade Idea: PDD
PDD is a Chinese retailer. Big move on elevated call buying Monday. Looking for a pullback > 120 and flag for a long entry. May call options are targeting 135 with large positions at 140 and 150