Swing Trade Idea – April 9, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.35% Currencies: USA$ -.03% Vix: -.3%
·
News: USA: Bullard ex FOMC Fed should cut now; Small biz
Index lower JPY: Prelim machine orders -3.8% y/y
Stocks: TSM+2.75% continuation on USA free money
·
Overview: USA SPY 519 with support at 518, 516.3, and 515, and resistance
at 520 and 521.1; SPY expected move +/- 2.4. QQQ 442 with resistance at 443 and
445, and support at 440, 439, and 435; QQQ expected move +/-4.8. USA
equities are moving higher premarket in NY trading though global equities are
neutral. Long yields are rising post comments from former FOMC member
Bullard. Metals continue to move parabolically on inflation concerns and
chatter on China improving and China buying gold. USA govt news of money to
TSMC is juicing semis despite not being new. Falling long yields is
usually positive for small caps, regional banks and companies with the weakest
balance sheet. Bonds have large, short interest so TLT may continue to rise
today. Caveat is CPI print tomorrow will be a major yield mover. No major data
to move markets hence 0DTE options are in control. SPX 5200 is the important
line in the sand for bulls and bears. Today’s daily expected move levels:
SPY (521.1-516.3), QQQ (445.4-435.8), IWM (208.1-203.1), and
SPX(5226-5178.8).
Stocks to watch GOOGL, META, NEM, WDC, NTES, VZ, RTX
Spec Names AGI, GFI, MP, AEO
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices VIX, SLV, SMH, TLT, KWEB, QQQ, BITO, SPX, ARKK
S&P500 FCX, WDC, NEM, VZ, RTX, T, LMT
Movers NTES, AEO, GFI, TSM, AGI, BILI, AU, PAAS, MXL, STM, WDC, BE, MP, NEOG, INMD,
VZ, RTX, T, GOGL, LMT, NVO, SMCI
Trade Idea: GOOGL
GOOGL is one of the better performing MAG7. Today is the Cloud Next conference which along with partnerships and a new chip venture can boost the stock. Expected move range today 158-151. Option market is targeting 160, 165.