Swing Trade Idea – May 28, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – neutral global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.03% Currencies: USA$ -.32% Vix: -0.2%
·
News: EUR: German biz climate weaker than expected
Stocks: INSM+134%, CORT+30%, biotech squeeze GME+22% sold more
shares 🙂 AGIO+21%, OKLO+14, AAPL+1.6%, report that China April sales much
higher
·
Overview: USA SPY 530.3 with support at 527.2 and 525, and resistance at
531.7 and 534; SPY expected move +/- 2.2. QQQ 459.2 with resistance at 460,
460.9, and 461.5, and support at 455, 450, and 446.7; QQQ expected move +/-
2.9. Global indices are flattish after a long weekend. USA indices are
led by small caps with the speculative and high short interest bid. US$ lower
and yields lower is providing a lift to commodities and should be generally
supportive to equities. China announcing state sponsorship for semi development
is perversely not impacting the stampede into semis and AI stocks. Could be the
chasers into month end that want to show NVDA et al in their book. Biotech is a
short squeeze group along with solars and renewable energy that started moving
last week after an analyst declared that solars were AI stocks. High short
interest in solars that have trouble making money and in theory the WH tariffs
should hurt as the bulk of the material comes from China. MAG7 are a mixed bag
premarket with NVDA and AAPL doing most of the lifting. Stocks reporting this
week are getting the usual buy into the report, CRWD, CAVA are two of the
names. Bitcoin is the only classic risk-on group not being bid premarket. Expecting
a light volume day with no economic reports so 0DTE options are in control in
what is usually a positive week despite decaying underlying market
internals. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (531.7-527.2), QQQ
(460.9-455), IWM (206.9-204), and SPX (5327-5282).
Stocks to watch NVDA, AAPL, DELL, VRT, CRWD, DKNG, GOOGL, TSLA
Spec Names CAVA, ONON, HIMS
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices USO, XBI, GLD, XRT, IWM, XLK, MSOS, XME, FXI, XLE, EFA, IBIT, UUP,
TLT
S&P500 NCLH, NVDA, VST, ENPH, HBAN, FSLR, ABNB, AAPL,
NEM, FCX, PYPL, CEG, DD, NRG, AMD
Movers INSM, CORT, GME, AGIO, OKLO, TDS, DELL, FLNC, ZIM, RUN, PAAS, CAVA,
CLS, HIMS, FRO, NVDA, QCOM, VRT, VST, ENPH, ONON, SEDG, CRWD, DKNG, AY, SE,
GCT, NVO, MSTR
Trade Idea: CRWD
CRWD is a popular security stock which reports June 4 and security stocks are bid despite a poor reaction to PANW earnings. The expected move for the week is +/-13 and +/-36 into next week. 360 is the level with high call open interest and can be used as a trigger level.