Swing Trade Idea – May 7, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.24% Currencies: USA$ +.13% Vix: +0.7%
·
News: USA: FOMC Kashkari 11:30 ET, 13:20 ET EUR: German
factory orders -0.4% vs +0.4%
Stocks: ESPR+23%, FGEN+19%, HIMS+14%, UBS+9%, KVUE+2.3%, PLTR-12%, TDC
-11%, DDOG-10%, RACE-6%, DIS-5%, MCHP-2.7%, CELH-8%, BYON-10%, EPS AAPL event today
10:00 ET + rumor that AAPL developing an AI chip.
TSLA
China
shipments lower but competitors higher
·
Overview: USA SPY 516.7 with support at 515 and resistance at 518.6 and
520; SPY expected move +/- 2.1. QQQ 439.5 with resistance at 440 and 443, and
support at 437.5 and 435; QQQ expected move +/-2.8. USA indices are mixed with
IWM up and NASI slightly down with some MAG7 weakness. AAPL is in play today
with its event. TSLA sales continue to slip in China. Monday was a short
squeeze day on low volume which was telegraphed premarket. Today looks like
some digestion with indices extended but options market is call heavy targeting
5200 so need to be prepared for additional squeezes. Tech earning reactions are
generally negative. Macro neutral with yields falling but some US$ strength and
commodities digesting Mon surge. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (518.6-514.5),
QQQ (443-437.5), IWM (206-203), and SPX (5201-5160).
Stocks to watch AAPL, DIS, CELH, BABA, NVDA, TSLA, DDOG
Spec Names OSCR
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices IBIT, VIX, TLT, XLF, IWM, XLV, KWEB, FXI, GDX, GLD, SLV, FXY, ARKK
S&P500 KVUE, TGT, DIS, ROK,
MCHP, TSLA, NVDA, SMCI
Movers ZETA, OSCR, MWA, HIMS, SYM, UBS, COHR, RIVN, GFS, GPS, STM, CART,
CCJ, BHP, BUD, DEO, DDOG, TDC, PLTR, BYON, BILI, CELH, GEO, SPR, GFI, NTES, DASH, BEKE,
GCT, JD, BABA, BP, BIDU
Trade Idea: AAPL
AAPL is bid higher ahead of an event today where the new IPAD with potentially a custom chip. Rumor mill is discussing a potential AI chip which is the magical hot narrative. AAPL 184 premarket with resistance at 185 and acceleration above. Pull back >= 182.5 may be buyable. Note: 10:00 ET is a binary event.