Swing Trade Idea – December 13, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China,
Hong Kong Asia – slight positive global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.1% Currencies: USA$ +.01%, CAD -.08%, YEN-.7%, BTC/USD+0.4%, Vix: 14.2
·
News: USA: Import prices 830ET UK: GDP -.1%
m/m vs +.1% China: New Loan data below expectations
Stocks: AVGO+14.5%, COST 0% EPS
Overview: SPY 606.8 support 605 602 and resistance 607
610, SPY expected move +/- 2.3; QQQ 530.6 with support 526 523,
resistance 535 expected move +/- 3.0. USA indices are higher
premarket led by the Nasi with SPY and Nasi already at the top of the
daily expected move which can lead to a trend higher or rejection. Catalyst for
the Nasi move is AVGO which narrowly beat Q1 forecasts but more importantly
hyped the growth attached to AI. This is lifting the semis and the AI basket of
stocks. COST is flat after beating estimates and delivering 7% revenue
growth y-y. MAG7 are led by TSLA, NVDA with remainder quiet. Semis and AI
related names are the focus premarket with caveat that indices are at the top
of the daily expected move and can either trend higher or top out around
current levels. Potential for large move in a few large market cap names
stifling the rest of the indices. SPX6100 is a large resistance level and 6000
support likely into Dec20 Opex
Expected moves SPY(604.3-602.0), QQQ (529.5-523.5), IWM (236.7-232.7), SPX
(6074.3-6028.3)
Stocks to watch AVGO NVDA TSLA MRCK PDD JD Speculative
IONQ
Pre-800ET
Indices SMH USO XLK QQQ ARKK XLF IBIT SPY XBI KWEB UNG FXI
SLV GDX GLD TLT
S&P500 AVGO PLTR MU TSLA NVDA UBER AMD
ALL AVGO BTDR
MRVL UPST ARM TSM PLTR SMR MU MSTR TSLA IONQ NVDA XPEV CLSK PDD
PBR JD
Trade Idea: NVDA
NVDA is a potential breakout name on the back of AVGO earnings. 140 is the key level, long above with target 145. No trade if below.