Swing Trade Idea – January 28, 2022
Market Setup
•Global markets are weak with USA red, Europe red, Japan green, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia mixed
•Yields higher usually negative for tech
•US dollar substantially higher is negative for equities and signals risk-off
•News: USA PCE .5% vs .5% USA Price Index 5.8% Y-Y US Consumption -.6% vs -0.6% Consumer Sentiment 10ET
•Stocks: AAPL beat, no guidance; V beat volume +21%; HOOD miss; CVX EPS miss; TEAM beat and raise;
•Indices: USA indices declined into 830 and currently bouncing on PCE news. Index gamma levels are negative and VIX term structure is inverted making risk high. SPY in a trading range 426.6-442 and break of the range will be significant. Gamma levels: Resistance 4360 4400 Support 4340 4300 4250. SPX 4300 is a critical pivot level.
•Sectors: Leading: Brazil, Oil explorers, spec tech FAANGMT Lagging: silver, gold miners, bitcoin
Stocks to watch: AAPL V TER MDLZ Spec Names: TEAM PODD HOOD
Movers
Earnings AAPL CAT CHD CHTR CL CVX CP EMN HOOD JNPR KLAC LYB MDLZ OLN PSX SYF SYK TEAM V VFC WDC WY X
MO MUR NUE NOW ORI
Indices BTC ARKK IWM XLE XLB XLI XLF XOP JETS XLY IBB XLP
S&P500 V AAPL NUE TPR NUE WDC TER CVX KR F MDLZ AMD LIN CAT VFC LYB FCX MS KMI OKE NLSN MRNA VNO MU
Movers HOOD WDC BAK PODD BAH TEAM TER XPEV BYND CVX PENN SE KLAC ABB LCID BUD MDLZ SBSW ALV KR V
WSB AFRM HOOD NIO F AMD RIVN SOFI PLUG PLTR NVDA
Trade Idea ZIM
Marine shippers have been outperforming the market so potential long idea but with market weakness longs are tough. ZIM strong premarket. Other names SBLK DAC