Swing Trade Idea – December 06, 2022
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up
•Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Grains, and Industrial Metals
•Yields: Yields are lower
•Currencies: US$ -.28%, Euro +.27%, Yen +.38%, GBP +.39%
•News: Europe: German factory orders 0.8% m/m China: Reopen MEME continues Australia: RBA +25bps Cannabis: Growing speculation that Safe Banking Act may be modified before the year end. USA: USA and Europe seeking tariffs on China Steel and Aluminum.
•Stocks: AZO, GTLB, and SIG display positive earnings in response with China reopening MEME. China reopening MEME: BABA, JD, LI, and NIO Steel and Metals: NEM, FCX, MT, NUE
•General: Leading: China, goldminers, Brazil, Bonds, Lithium Lagging: Energy and US$
•Indices: The USA indices are consolidating overnight. The SPY displays $400 and in my opinion, this is a major option of an open interest level, which can act as a magnet with support of $400, $398, and $395 with a resistance of $402 and $405. The QQQ $288 displays a support of $286 and $285 with a resistance of $290, $293, and $295. The US$ yields are lower and in my opinion, usually has a positive for risk assets. China’s reopen MEME currency moves support for metal and travel names. Cannabis names are in play but in my analysis can be risky. Financials were weak Monday and are potentially continuing today.
•Stocks to watch: TXT, BABA, FCX, NEM, MT, UAL, BK, GS, APA Spec Names GTBIF, TCNNF
Pre-800ET
Earnings: AZO, GTLB, SIG
Indices: KWEB, GDX, EWZ, TLT, GLD /btc, LIT, ICLN, XLE, UUP, XOP
S&P500: TXT, PM, GE, UAL, NEM, DAL, FCX, EXPE, NRG, RCL, EW, CAG, TAP, GIS, BK, EQT, KMB, MRO, SLB, APA, MPC
IWM: SIG, GME, CROX, MRTX, FRO, RDN
WSB: NIO, BABA, AFRM, RIVN, UPST, GME
Movers: GTLB, TXT, SIG, LI, SBSW, BILI, XPEV, AU, FREY, WDS, JD, GFI, TS, MT, RIO, SNOW, NET, ARRY, MRTX, NRG, EW, RCL, PHG, CAG, FRO
My Trade Idea: MSOS
In my opinion, Cannabis stocks are in play with speculation that the Safe Banking Act may be modified to permit Cannabis companies before the end of the year. The premarket displays a low of a $13.17 reference level and $13.84 potential long trigger. In my analysis, I am expecting that Monday’s high of $14.6 will move into year end +/-4.6. I am very speculative.