Swing Trade Idea – January 23, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Market Setup Pre-8:30 AM ET
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, Asia – Mild Bullish global set-up
•Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals
•Yields: Yields are higher
•Currencies: US$ -.07%, Euro +0.22%, Yen -0.54%, AUD +.42%
News: USA: Fed blackout, market pricing 25bps; CB leading index 10ET Europe: Hawkish rate increase comments, Consumer confidence 10ET
•Stocks: CRM +4.5% Elliot Involved ; SPOT +4.7% cutting 5%; TSLA +2% Squeeze continues; AMD +2.6%, QCOM +2% Upgrade; W +12% upgrade; AQUA +16% XYL buying; AMAT -1.3% downgrade; SYF +1.4% beat lowered estimates, 4Q credit loss allowance 10.3% of receivables
•General: Leading: bitcoin, China Internet, Smis, Energy Lagging: TLT, Low Volatility, Gold
Indices: USA indices consolidated overnight and rising into NY open. Macro setup mixed with yields are higher, US$ lower and energy higher. China, and Hong Kong are closed. SPY 396 is above 395 and with support of 390 and below 400 and 405 resistance. QQQ 283 above support of 280 and below 285 and 290 resistance. The lack of news and big earnings reports puts the market in the hands of the 0DTE options market. Premarket it looks like the Casino is open and short squeeze can continue. Caveat is that post a large Opex, volatility can increase. Nasdaq stocks continue to be bid; however take care since many are extended premarket.
Stocks to watch AMD, QCOM, TSLA, APA, CRM, SYF, AMAT, PYPL, Spec Names SHOP, W, SPOT, CFLT, PLRX
Pre-800ET
Earnings BKR SYF
Indices /btc, KWEB, SOXX, SMH, XOP, XPH, ARKK, euro, TLT, SPLV, GLD, EFA, GDX, XLB, XLV
S&P500 CRM, WDC, TSLA, AMD, QCOM, NVDA, APA, NCLH, XYL, AMAT, PYPL, TPR
IWM AQUA, MSTR, PLUG, AR, SMCI
WSB AMD, TSLA, MSTR, PLUG, NVDA
Movers AQUA, W, HCM, CRM, SHOP, SPOT, CFLT, WDC, AMD, SWKS, TSLA, SKX, ASML, QCOM, XYL, FLNG, AMAT, CRWD, PYPL
My Trade Idea: CRM
In my analysis, CRM is in play on news that Elliot has taken a multi-billion stake. Premarket high 159, stock is extended and pullback > 156 is a potential long with target of 160. Above 160, 165 is a target.