.

  • Swing Trade Idea – April 11, 2023

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ‘div’ – dividend 

    ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ‘mfg’ – manufacturing 

    +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

    Global MarketsUSA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia  Neutral equity global set-up

    CommoditiesGold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals

    Yields: Yields are flat

    Currencies:  US $ -.4%; $Yen +.3%; $EUR +.45%

    News: USA: Yellen at 11:30 ET; FOMC Goolsbee at 13:30 ET; Europe: Retail sales Y/Y -3%;  China: CPI 0.7% vs 1%
    Stocks
    KMX +6.4%, ADTN -17% Earnings; PYPL +2% V deal; NEM -3% acq; ZBH upgrade; Bitcoin to the moon

    Usual Suspects: MSFT  -1.4%, TSLA +1.5%, AMZN -.8%, NVDA +.18%

    General: Leading:  Bitcoin, Gold Miners, Brazil, bonds Lagging: Large cap tech, US$

    Overview: USA indices pulling back since 6:00 ET. SPY 409 displays the  support of 405 with resistance of 410, and 415. SPY expected move +/- 2.0. QQQ 317 with resistance of 317, 320, and 325  displays the support of 315, and 310. QQQ expected move +/- 2.5. QQQ is weakest sector with MSFT down on realization that slowing PC sales are bad for MSFTJ and TSLA may be used as a positive ballast against AMZN, MSFT, and AAPL weakness. Small caps may outperform as may high short interest stocks in the retail sector if Monday’s pattern continues. US$ weakness is boosting commodities and foreign stocks but not USA which raises question whether US stocks bounce today or the US$ moves higher. Yellen at 11:30 ET may be market moving so take care with market volumes low last 2 weeks.

    Stocks to watch PYPL, KMX, COIN, MRNA, MSFT  Spec Names RIOT, MSTR, FSLY, AI

    Pre-800ET
    Earnings ADTN, KMX

    Indices BTC, GDX, EWZ, euro, GLD, KWEB, EEM, TLT, IWM, faangmt, XLK, IGV, UUP

    S&P500 KMX, AKAM, PYPL, WELL, FCX, MRNA, NEM, MSFT

    IWM RIOT, FSLY, ADTN, AI, FRO

    WSB RIOT, COIN, UPST, AI

    Movers KMX, RIOT, FSLY, BILI, LI, BHP, UBS, GFI, XPEV, RIO, COIN, PYPL, AU, ACI, ADTN, MRNA, SNOW, NEM, FRO, UPST, AI, DDOG, MSFT




    Trade Idea: MSFT

    MSFT is weak premarket so a candidate for a strong bounce (my guess) or breakdown. Consider long > 285 with target 290 and fade below 284 with target 282

     

0 comment
Top