Swing Trade Idea – June 12, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
•Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields are flat
· Currencies: US $-.06%
· News: USA: Bond Auction at 13:01 ET Japan: Machine orders -22% y/y; PPI 5.1% y/y vs 5.6%
· Stocks KDNY +63% acquired by NVS ORCL +4% Upgrade EPS AMC ; S +5.5% upgrade NTLA +7% positive data; CCL +5% JPM 16 target
· General: Leading: Semis, spec_tech, biotech, China_Internet Lagging: Oil, bitcoin, energy
· Overview: Positive global equity setup USA SPY 430.8 displays support of 430, 416. 425, and 420 with resistance at 432. SPY expected move +/- 2. QQQ 354.8 with resistance 355, 358 and displays support of 346, and 340. QQQ expected move +/- 2.5. Market is call heavy into the open which can lead to pullback or squeeze higher. Small caps, spec tech (AI and Semis) and high short interest are leading. Only important macro event is bond auction at 1301ET as liquidity impact is a risk. SPX 4300/4320 is strong resistance for the week so take care at those levels.
· Stocks to watch ORCL, AMD, PLTR, TSLA, AMD, ISRG, XLE
Spec Names S, AI
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices SMH, ARKK, XBI, XLK, JETS, KRE, QQQ, LIT, KWEB, XLY, GDX, faangmt, USO, /btc, XOP, XLE
S&P500 CCL, ORL, ILMN, AMD, NCLH, BIIB, RCL, ADBE, TSLA, PARA, LUV, NDAQ, MRO, DVN
IWM KDNY, S, FRO, AI, IONQ, NNOX
WSB ORCL, AMD, PLTR, UPST, AFRM, AI, TSLA, GME, NVDA, RIVN, COIN
Movers KDNY, CCL, CUK, S, ORCL, ILMN, AMD, NCLH, PLTR, FRO, CVNA, BIIB, RCL, AFRM, U, UPST, ADBE, NDAQ, RIO, LI, COIN, DVN, MRO, BP, EQNR, OXY
Trade Idea: TSLA
In my opinion, TSLA is in play every day that ends in Y. Expected move +/-16. High call OI at 250. Premarket 247.9, can look for pullback >=245 for long towards 250 or above 250 look for 255, 260. Below 250 potential fade towards 245. Options positioned very long hence pullback at open is not unexpected.