Swing Trade Idea – June 14, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Underlined text – higher volume premarket
· Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields are lower
· Currencies: US $-.2%
· News: USA: PPI at 8:30 ET; at FOMC 14:00 ET UK: Industrial production m/m -0.3% vs -0.1%
· Stocks AMD +3.5% AMZN might use the new chip MAXN +11% upgrade ; UNH -5.6% Delayed surgeries increasing. Negative for insurers but positive for hospitals and equipment suppliers BSX +2.4%
· General: Leading: USO, EWZ, ARKK, XLE, ICLN, EFA, XLB, GDX, KRE, XLY, IWM, XOP, XLF, XBI
Lagging: XLV, VXX, KWEB, DIA
· Overview: USA indices neutral ahead of PPI print USA SPY 437 displays support of 435 with resistance at 440. SPY expected move +/- 3. QQQ 364 resistance at 365 with support of 360, and 355 . QQQ expected move +/- 3.7. Premarket small caps and high short interest names are leading along with commodities on the notion that China will stimulate the lagging economy. DIA is down due to UNH and can act as a drag on constituents. PPI will be market moving premarket but FOMC at 14:00 ET will be the big mover. No rate increase expected so market will move on commentary on whether it is skipping or pausing. Potential negative reaction to hawkish Powell if he attempts to cool the speculative equity market.
· Stocks to watch AMD, CCL, FCX, TSLA, MDT/ABT/BSX/ISRG, C, UNH HUM
Spec Names PLUG, MAXN, COHR
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices USO, EWZ, ARKK, XLE, ICLN, EFA, XLB, GDX, KRE, XLY, IWM, XOP, XLF, XBI, XLV, VXX, KWEB, DIA
S&P500 AMD, CCL, FCX, BSX, TSLA, DG, MRO, HUM, UNH, CVS, MO, AMAT
IWM FRO, IONQ, AI
WSB PLUG, AMD, UPST, CLF, TSLA, GME, AFRM, AI
Movers MAXN, COHR, PLUG, LI, RIO, MT, AMD, CCL, FCX, UPST, AA, BSX, TSLA, HMC, DG, U, SE, HUM, UNH, CVS, CFLT, ARCC, MO, PDD, AFRM, AI
Trade Idea: MDT
Comment by UNH on increases in delayed surgical procedures is a positive catalyst for medical equipment companies. MDT is a potential with a focus on cardiac. Other names are BSX, SYK, EW,ZBH