Swing Trade Idea – July 6, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Underlined text – higher volume premarket
· Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields are higher Currencies: USA -.37%
· News: USA ADP employment 497k vs 226k; UE claims at 8:30 ET; ISM Serives, JOLTS at 10:00 ET Europe: Retail sales 0%m/m
· Stocks META +0.9% Threads excitement MSFT +0.6% upgrade MGA BWA, APTV, KDP upgrade
· General: Leading: VXX, /btc, GDX, GLD, euro, faangmt Lagging: /KWEB, SOXX, EEM, EFA, SMH, IWM, ARKK, LIT, XLE, KRE
·
Overview: USA SPY 440.4 displays support of 440, 438, and 435 and
resistance at 443. SPY expected move +/- 1.7. QQQ 368 with resistance 370
and displays support of 365, 362 . QQQ expected move +/- 2.1. Global
indices and macro factors are not bullish with potential for trend day
lower. Risk today is rising 10yr yields following much higher than
expected ADP jobs survey and UE claims which remain low. ISM services and JOLTS
at 10ET will be market moving so take notice. Semis are particularly weak
along with GOOGL AMZN AAPL but MSFT and META are showing some strength. Tech
typically does not like higher yields so watch the sector and ARKK type stocks
in general.
· Stocks to watch MSFT, META, KDP, AMD, AMZN, MU, AXP
Spec Names MP, AFRM
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices VXX, /btc, GDX, GLD, euro, faangmt, KWEB, SOXX, EEM, EFA, SMH, IWM, ARKK, LIT, XLE, KRE, FIA, XLF, QQQ
S&P500 FIS, BWA, META, KDP, INTC, AMD, XOM, GOOG
IWM SG, MARA, RIOT, SAVE, MSTR, IONQ, ASB, TALO, MDRX, AI, NE
WSB RIOT, MSTR, PLUG, AFRM, AI, AMD
Movers PERI, SG, MARA, RIOT, OPRA, MP, MSTR, FIS, BWA, META, KDP, COIN, INOQ, CHWY, AFRM, BILI, PDD, CRH, INTC, AI, AMD, XOM, MU
Trade Idea: AMD
Semis are pulling back with market. AMD pre-market high 113. Current price 111.7 with 110 a key support level where bounce or breakdown possible. Break above 112 could be an indication that selling is over. Expected move for week is +/-2.7