Swing Trade Idea – August 2, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Market Setup- Pre-730ET
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields are lower Currencies: USA -.08%
· News: USA: ADP non-farm payrolls; Big story is Fitch downgrade of USA debt that was released after the close
· Stocks: Earnings: MTCH +9.5%, HUM +4.8%, EMR +4%, XYL +2.3%, AMD +2.1%, GNRC -15%, SFM -9%, DT -6.4%, SBUX -1%
· General: Leading: VXX, /btc GLD Lagging: TAN, KWEB, ICLN, ARKK, EEM, IPO, KRE, IWM, XLY, SOXX, JETS, EFA, QQQ, XLK
· Overview: USA SPY 454.2 displays support of 452, 450, 448, 445, 440 and with resistance of 455 460. SPY expected move +/- 1.7 QQQ 379.5 with resistance at 380, 385, 390 and displays support of 375, 370. QQQ expected move +/- 2.1. Global equities are risk-off with debt upgrade. Macro setup is negative with US$ higher and yields higher. Spec tech, China internet are leading to downside. Positive earnings results lifting healthcare insurers, construction (materials, HVAC, electrical) and negative from SEDG weighing down solars. SPY 452, QQQ 375 remain key support levels. Treasury issuance report today may be market moving (time TBD)
· Stocks to watch AMD, EMR, HUM, ELF, BLDR, TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, SEDG Spec Names MTCH, YOU, FRSH, IONQ
Pre-800ET
Earnings OSK, AMD, ELF, FLS, FRSH, MTCH, BLDR, CVS,
EMR, HUM, PERI, VRT, YOU, XYL, CVS, ENPH, GNRC, SFM, EA, KHC, DT,
SBUX
Indices VXX, /btc, GLD, TAN, KWEB, ICLN, ARKK, EEM, IPO, KRE, IWM, XLY, SOXX, JETS, EFA, QQQ, XLK
S&P500 MTCH, EMR, HUM, AMD, SEDG, GNRC, PTC, NCLH, CCL, ENPH, TSLA, ANET, NVDA, GOOGL, DVN, SBUX, AAL, MU, F, META
IWM ELF, YOU, TGTX, SFM, IONQ, AI, RXRX, STNE, LMND, SMCI
WSB AMD, NIO, AFRM, AI, UPST, PLTR, RIVN, BABA, PLUG, SOFI, TSLA, NVDA, COIN
Movers VRT, ELF, FRSH, YOU, MTCH, HUM, EMR, PERI, AMD, TGTX, CVS, CCEP, MARA, SEDG, GNRC, SFM, XPEV, DT, NIO, AI
Trade Idea: HUM
HUM is in play on positive earnings report which is lifting the healthcare
insurers. Currently rising in premarket with high 488.25. Potential
target of 500 which would close the gap down. UNH is another way to trade
healthcare insurers