Swing Trade Idea – August 4, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Market Setup- Pre-730ET
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields are lower Currencies: USA +.06%
· News: USA: Non farm payrolls at 8:30 ET Canada: Employment report Europe: Retail sales -0.3% m/m
· Stocks: Earnings: AMZN +8.6%, TEAM +19%, BKNG +10.9%, NET +8.5%, FLR +6%, AAOI +19%, MGA +1.5%, FTNT -18%, DOCN -17%, QS -10%, AAPL -2.7%
· General: Leading: XLY, FDN, ARKK, ARKF, USO Lagging: VXX, KWEB, XLK, GDX, /btc, SOXX, EWZ
· Overview: USA SPY 449.6 displays support of 448, 445, 440 and resistance at 450 455 and 460. SPY expected move +/- 2.6 QQQ 374.7 with resistance at 375, 380 and displays support of 370 365. QQQ expected move +/- 3.4. AMZN and AAPL are currently balancing out each other with non-Farm payrolls the key data point. S&P500 is currently negative gamma with larger moves expected. Implied volatility should drop which may lift markets however must rise above and hold key levels: SPY 450, QQQ 375. SPX moves into positive gamma 4546. AAPL is a risk today with 185 the key support level. Security stocks are down in sympathy with FTNT but spec tech (cloud and AI) are bid premarket. Caution today with large move priced in for the day.
· Stocks to watch AMZN, DKNG, TEAM, NET, AAPL, FTNT, MCHP
Spec Names AAOI, DOCN
Pre-800ET
Earnings AMZN, DKNG, TEAM, FLR, NET, TEAM, MGA, KTOS,
NTRA, OLED, FTNT
Indices XLY, FDN, ARKK, ARKF, USO, XBI, XLE, VXX, KWEB, XLK, GDX, /btc, SOXX, EWZ, HACK, EEM, SMH
S&P500 AMZN, ETSY, FTNT, MCHP, PANW, AAPL, ON
IWM CNK, LMND, FRO, IONQ, SDGR, DOCN, RDFN
WSB AMZN, NET, NIO, PLTR, AI, COIN
Movers TEAM, DKNG, AMZN, NET, DDOG, SNOW, CNK, EH, LMND, FRO, NIO, PLTR, RBLX, IONQ, DOCN, FTNT, RDFN, SQ, PANW, MCHP, HAYW, GFI, AAPL, COIN
Trade Idea: AAPL
AAPL is the focus name with a 3T market cap. In my opinion, key level
is 185, below potential for a fade to 180 and 170. Premarket high 188 is a
potential long to 190