Swing Trade Idea – August 16, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
‘div’ – dividend
‘m/m’ – month over month
‘y/y’ – year over year
‘Inven’ – inventories
‘mfg’ – manufacturing
+/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Market Setup- Pre-7:30 ET
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields are lower Currencies: USA -.07%
· News: USA: Housing starts at 8:30ET; Ind Production at 9:15ET; FOMC minutes 14ET UK: CPI 6.8% y/y vs 6.7% EUR: GDP q/q 0.3%
· Stocks: Earnings: JD -.4%, COHR -20%, ZIM -5.8%, TGT +7%, TJX +3%, DLO +30%, CAVA +8% Coinbase +2.7% approval to offer crypto futures; TSLA -2% China price cuts weighing on EV co’s;
·
Overview: USA SPY 443 displays support of 442 440 and with
resistance 445, 450, 452. SPY expected move +/- 2.5 QQQ 366.3 with
resistance at 370, 375, 380 and displays support of 365. QQQ expected
move +/- 2.6. S&P 500 declining since 4:30ET but unchanged relative to
Tuesday’s close. Neutral setup with Asian markets lower and Europe slightly
lower. Yields and US$ neutral set-up. TSLA currently weighing on Nasi
being offset by NVDA which still has squeeze potential. TGT earnings poor but
less bad may provide a boost to retailers. FOMC minutes are the big event and
will be market moving post.
· Stocks to watch TGT, TJX, NVDA, COIN, WMT, TSLA, JD, COHR Spec Names DLO, CAVA
Pre-800ET
Earnings TGT, TJX, DLO, DADA, CAVA, COHR, JD,
ZIM, A
Indices VXX, USO, TLT, XLP, ICLN, KWEB, EEM, XLY, faangmt, /btc
S&P500 TGT, TJX, TSLA
IWM MGNI, STNE, RIOT, MQ
WSB COIN, NIO, TSLA, RIVN, BABA, RIOT
Movers DLO, TGT, MGNI, EURN, COIN, TJX, NU, PBR, STNE, CRH, DADA, COHR, TSEM, ZIM, NIO, ZIM, MQ, JD, SE, TSLA, BABA, RIVN
Trade Idea: WMT
In my opinion, WMT reports earnings Aug 17 BMO so it is in play
today. Higher premarket after TGT earnings. Maybe a day trade idea with 160 the
pivot level. Expected move into earnings is +/-5.5. Other retail names to watch
today: TGT, TJX, JWN.