Swing Trade Idea – September 08, 2023
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
- Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
- ‘div’ – dividend
- ‘m/m’ – month over month
- ‘y/y’ – year over year
- ‘Inven’ – inventories
- ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
- +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
- Underlined text – higher volume premarket
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight negative, equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields flat Currencies: USA -.06%
·
News: USA FOMC, Barr, 9ET EUR: German CPI
0.3% m/m Japan: Final GDP q/q 1.2% vs 2.4% expected
Stocks: Positive Earnings DOCU +1%, SWBI +11%, Negative
Earnings RH -7%, Movers ADBE +1.5%, Upgrade
TSM
-0.11%, Aug revenue down 13.5% Y/Y
Overview: USA SPY 444.7, support at 443 440 and resistance at 445
450 455 . SPY expected to move +/- 1.9, QQQ 371.8 with resistance at 375 and
support at 370 365 . QQQ expected to move +/- 2.2. USA indices are subdued
premarket with no major economic data or major earnings reports. Indices remain
in negative gamma, hence higher volatility. Dispersion trade likely if indices
hold, which mean rotation and over performance in some names to compensate for
selling in others. Semis are weak on TSMC revenue, indicating semi slow down
which hereto has been ignored in equity prices. META and NFLX are the leading
FAANGMT but if dispersion trade, look for outperformance early on by a couple.
SPX 4500 is an important level (SPY 450) for bulls and until then downside
moves are not ruled out
·
· Stocks to watch: ADBE, META, FSLR, NVDA, Spec Names: SWBI, SMAR
Pre-800ET
Earnings: DOCU, KR, SMAR, SWBI, RH, ZUMZ
Indices: EWZ, USO, XLE, DBC, VXX, GLD, EEM, SMH, /btc, SOXX, EFA, XLY, QQQ
S&P500: FSLR, GILD, ADBE, PDD, ASMLKR
IWM: STAA, FLNC, DOCN, PUMP, VIR
WSB: WWE; GME
Movers: FSLR, GSK, EQNR, GILD, ADBE, SNOW, DOCN, KR, PHG, ASML, CRH, RIO, PDI
Trade Idea: ADBE
ADBE is in play with an upgrade by Mizhuno to $630 and earnings next week. Premarket high of 572 can be used for a momentum long or pull > 465. May run into the earnings report Sept 14 as part of AI fever.