Swing Trade Idea – September 28, 2023
Date: Sept 28, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
- Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, Softs, Industrial Metals
- Yields: Yields higher
- Currencies: USA -0.3%
- News: USA: Final GDP, UE claims 8:30 ET; Pending home sales m/m Europe: Spanish CPI 3.5% y/y
- Stocks: JBL +2.8% EPS; MU -3.3% ACN -5% KMX -10% EPS WDAY -9.5% Guidance
- Overview: USA SPY 426.5 support 425 and resistance of 430. I expect the SPY to move +/- 3.62 QQQ 355.02 with resistance of 360 and 365 and support of 353 and 350. QQQ I expect to move +/- 3.8. Equity set-up is neutral with global equities mixed and yields higher but US$ lower Indices remain put dominated in negative gamma which increases the risk of large moves in either direction. GDP and UE claims will be announced premarket which will be market moving. Defensive assets and bid premarket with growth lagging and metals are higher on a reflexive reaction to the lower US$. FAANGMT are mixed with AAPL, AMZN, TSLA weak but META and GOOGL bid. Today’s daily I expect to move levels: SPY (429.67-422.43) QQQ (358.8-351.3). Market is “oversold” hence potential for bounce but need yields to fall for a catalyst. SPX 3600 is likely resistance into month end if S&P bounces
- Stocks to watch: META, GOOGL, AMD, RMD, FCX, KMX, MU, ACN, WDAY, CCL
- Spec Names: GME, PLTR
Pre-8:00ET
Earnings JEF, MU, ACN, KMX, JBL
Indices /btc, euro, XLE, XLB, ICLN, XME, XLP, XLV, EWZ, XLU, VXX, KWEB, TLT, UUP, EEM, FAANGMT, FDN
S&P500 TRMB, RMD, FCX, NEE, TSCO, CTRA, APA, SLB, ENPH, GE, META, KMX, ACN, MU, JCI, CCL, HPQ, BXP, USB, BEN, ARE
IWM NOVA, DBRG, IONQ, BIPC, RC, TEX, BXMT, LADR, BHVN, XPRO, FRO, STNG
WSB GME, PLTR, MSTR, COIN, NLY, BABA, RTX
Movers GME, NOVA, JBL, BHP, PLTR, RIO, TTE, ROKU, IONQ, AA, FCX, VALE, COIN, KMX, WDAY, ACN, CVNA, GFI, MU, NLY, LI, CCL, AU, HPQ, ASML, NTES
Trade Idea: AMZN
AMZN Levels for today from option positioning: Support 125 and 124 Resistance at 127 and 128. Premarket trading 124.65 and declining premarket. Fade potential < 124. ATR 3.7 could be used for intraday trades in either direction.