Swing Trade Idea – October 05, 2023
Date: Oct 5, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields lower Currencies: USA -0.15%
· News: USA: UE claims 830ET; FED Barr 1215ET; Challenger Job Cuts 47k previous 75k CDN: PMI 10ET 50.8 expected
· Stocks: RIVN -9% bond issuance; CLX -4% -guidance CAG -1.2% EPS JPM -0.7%J
·
Overview: USA SPY 424.7 with support at 420, 418 and
resistance of 425, 430. SPY expected to move +/- 3.3 QQQ at 360.1
with resistance at 360 362 and support at 355 350. QQQ expected to move
+/- 3.35. Macro factors are mildly bullish with yields flat and US$
weaker. USA indices are mildly negative, led by FAANGMT with NVDA and TSLA
outperforming. Indices pulled back with less job cuts and will react to the UE
claims at 830ET. Non-farm payrolls Fri will be a major event, hence caution is
expected today. Today daily expected move levels: SPY (428 – 421); QQQ
(363-356); IWM (174.4-168). Daily expected moves can be used for
support/resistance with acceleration on crosses.
Stocks to watch NVDA LW RIVN XOM CLX ASML Spec Names CDAY
·
Pre-800ET
Earnings: STZ, LW, CAG
Indices: MSOS, EFA, /btc, QQQ, EEM, GDX, USO, XLE, XOP, TLT, GLD, XLF, IWM
S&P500: CDAY, PH, ORLY, MU, CNP, WDC, UAL, AAL, NVDA, TSLA, CLX, CARR, TSCO, FANG, VLO, XOM, SLB, HAL
IWM: APLS, EXTR, CPE, SHLS, FRO, FSLY, NE
WSB: RIVN
Movers: EURN, APLS, PINS, BTI, RBLX, MU, RIVN, CLX, CARR, FRO, BP, LI, CPE, FSLY, DVN, SLB
Trade Idea: QQQ
QQQ has flipped from green to red with the UE claims report. Fade < 358.5 with target 356.4 which is the bottom of the expected move for day with acceleration to 355 below. Longs possible over 360 with a tight stop