Swing Trade Idea – October 31, 2023
Date: Oct 31, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields lower Currencies: USA -.08%
· News: Europe: CPI y/y 2.9% vs 3.1%; Flash GDP q/q -.1% vs 0% Japan: Loosened YCC limit USA: Employment cost index q/q 8:30 ET; House price index 9:00 ET; Chicago PMI 9:45 ET; CB Consumer confidence 10:00 ET CAN: GDP 8:30 ET China: MFG and non-mfg PMI below expectations and lower since prior print
·
Stocks: ANET +9.8%, PINS +15.9%, BUD +4.2%, ETN 3.2%, GPN +5%, AMGN -0.45%,
BP -3.5%, PFE -0.16%, LSCC -13% Earnings reactions
Overview: USA SPY 416.4 with support at 415, and resistance at 420 and
425. SPY expected move +/- 3.09. QQQ 349.5 with resistance at 350
and 360, and support at 345. QQQ expected move +/- 3.6. USA indices
have risen with the European open after falling with the weak Chinese data.
Yields lower (likely due Japan retaining YCC) are supportive to equities and
provide greatest benefit to small caps and financials. US$ is slightly
lower with Euro +.3% and Yen -1.1%. Indices are negative gamma so larger
moves in both directions are normal. FAANGMT mixed with AAPL, TSLA, and
NVDA weak, and META and MSFT compensating. Earnings results for semis
continue to indicate weakness which can impact NVDA. Today’s daily
expected move levels: SPY (418.7-412.5), QQQ (352.8-345.6), IWM (166.5-159.7),
and SPX(4197.7-4135.9).
Stocks to watch ANET, MSFT, LLY, BABA, CAT,
TSLA, NVDA, AAPL
Spec Names PINS, BEAM, CHWY
Pre-800ET
Earnings ANET, PINS, BUD, ETN, GPN, FWRD, AMGN, BP, PFE, LSCC
Indices TLT, EWZ, USO, EFA, FEZ, IWM, XLU, XLF, FDN, GLD, VXX, KWEB, XBI, EEM
S&P500 ANET, LLY, BA, CTLT, VFC, CAT, WDC, TSLA
IWM GPRE, COCO, BEAM, ARWR, IGT, AMKR, FWRD, NE
WSB CCJ, BA, TSLA, BABA
Movers PINS, WOLF, ANET, BEAM, CHWY, QGEN, BUD, STLA, ASML, MT, STM, LLY, NVO, SRPT, AMKR, LSCC, CTLT, VFC, CAT, WDC, BP, BEKE, PDD
Trade Idea: AAPL
AAPL slight softening premarket. Within the day, 170 is a bull/bear level. Breakout above 171 can be used for a long with target 172.5, and 175, and 169 for a fade with target 167.5.