Swing Trade Idea – November 08, 2023
Date: Nov 8, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: Yields flat Currencies: USA +.20%
·
News: USA: Powell 9:15 ET; Bond Auction 13:01 ET EUR:
Retail sales -0.3% m/m; German 10yr auction 2.6%
Stocks: RIVN +8%, UPWK +23%, EBAY -6.7%, UPST -26%, ARRY
-11% Earnings reactions
Overview: USA SPY 437.1 with support at 435 and 433.5, and resistance at
437.8 and 440. SPY expected move +/- 2.1. QQQ 372.7 with resistance
at 373.6 and 375, and support at 372 and 370. QQQ expected move +/-
2.8. Neutral set-up with USA indices flat, Europe higher, Asia
weak. US$ is higher which is negative but yields lower is positive as is
lower oil and commodities. Potential for the squeeze to continue in MAG7
and spec tech with caveats that extended but ARKK and AMZN are two ways to
trade it. TSLA is a dark horse that has been left out of the Mag7 feeding
frenzy. SPY 435 is an important reference level and SPX 4300 a major bull/bear
level and SPX 4400 resistance. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(439-434.9), QQQ (375.5-370), IWM (174.7-168.7), SPX(4399-4357.6).
Stocks to watch AMZN, TLT, TSLA, ARKK, TTWO, RBLX
Spec Names UPWK, RIVN, UPST, HOOD, BMBL, ARRY, RIOT
Pre-800ET
Earnings OXY, RIVN, UPWK, EBAY, MASI, HOOD, GILD, UPST, BMBL
Indices TLT, JETS, XLV, UUP, /btc, USO, GDX, VXX, EEM, ARKF, XOP, EFA, GLD, XLE, KWEB
S&P500 TTWO, MCHP, EBAY, SRE, DVN, NEM
IWM TH, UPWK, ENVX, IONQ, ARRY, RIOT, CLDX
WSB RIVN, AMC, UPST, AFRM, RIOT
Movers TH, UPWK, ENVX, TTWO, RIVN, GMAB, BEKE, AMC, MCHP, RBLX, IONQ, UPST, TOST, SPR, ARRY, EBAY, CPNG, LI, AFRM, DVN, NEM
Trade Idea: AMZN
AMZN is a 100% momentum idea with breadth narrowing and selective MAG7 stocks catching the bid. If call buying continues, AMZN can squeeze above 143 to 145 with 150 target into Nov Opex. Expected daily move 139-146.