Swing Trade Idea – November 29, 2023
Date: Nov 29, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Yields -1% Currencies: USA +.09%
· News: USA: GDP 830ET, Beige Book 14ET EUR: Spanish CPI 3.2% y/y; German 10y yields fell
·
Stocks: WDAY +8%,
CRWD +2%, NTAP +10.8%, FLNC +16%, FL +8.7%, DLTR -1.9%,
HRL -2% Earnings moves GM +9% revised guidance
accelerated buybacks
Overview: USA SPY 457.2 support 455 450 and resistance
456.15 460 SPY expected move +/- 1.86 QQQ 392.8 with
resistance 392.5 395 and support 390 387.2, expected move
2.29. USA indices are rising premarket along with global indices
ex-China into the GDP print. SPY and QQQ are short term technically
extended and above the daily expected move which can lead to a trend day higher
or a drop depending on the GDP print. Macro setup is mixed with long yields
lower and US$ higher. Waller comment Tues popped the market and bond auction
dipped it so market is very sensitive to rate expectations and hence GDP print
today is important. Premarket, the casino is open with small caps, tech and
energy bid. Mag7 are led by TSLA with caveat that it’s at the top of the
weekly expected move with potential for surge higher or pullback. Today’s daily
expected move levels: SPY (456.8-453.1) QQQ (392.5-38.9), IWM
(180.8-175.3) SPX(4573.8-4536).
Stocks to watch: TSLA, NVDA, GM, WDAY, NTAP, LVS, DLTR,
BABA Spec Names: GME, MARA, FL
Pre-800ET
Earnings: INTU, WDAY, ANTCF, CRWD, SPLK, HPE, NTAP, DLTR, HRL, OKTA, DCI, BILI, FL, WOOF, FTCH, FLNC,
Indices: USO, ARKK, IWM, SOXX, SMH, XBI, KRE, ARKF, XLY, XLE, QQQ, KWEB, VXX, EEM
S&P500: NTAP, GM, PSX, F, WRK, WDC, CRM, TSLA, PYPL, NKE, PYPL, AMD, CCL, LVS, PCG, DLTR, HRL
IWM: FLNC, FL,
NOVA, LMND, IONQ, RIOT, MARA, CROX, AI, SMCI, CELH, MSTR, FRO
Movers: FLNC, GME, NTAP, FL, WDAY, GM, PSX, STLA, F, LMND, CVNA, MT, U,
PATH, SNOW, IONQ, BILI, PHG, LVS, BABA, JD, LI, DLTR, NEM,
Trade Idea: TSLA
TSLA has popped to resistance at 250. Market is risk on and one can consider a straddle approach with long > 250.5 with targets 252.5 255 and fade < 249 with targets 247.5 and 245