Swing Trade Idea – December 5, 2023
Date: Dec 5, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Market Setup- Pre-730ET
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.69% Currencies: USA +.10`%
· News: USA: ISM Services PMI 10:00 ET; JOLTS 10:00 ET EUR: Services PMI 48.7 China: Caixin Services PMI 51.5
·
Stocks: GTLB +13%, DBI -32%,
JOAN -18% Earnings
Overview: USA SPY 455.3 with support at 455 and 454, and resistance at 457
and 460, SPY expected move +/- 2.2. QQQ 384.8 with resistance at 385,
388, and 390, and support at 383.5 and 380, expected move 2.8. USA
indices are lower premarket with QQQ leading to downside with MAG7. Macro is
risk-off with bonds and US$ higher and most commodities negative. The
last few days have been market by deleveraging of long/short funds with shorts
bought and longs sold but today the shorted stocks are moving lower. MAG7 are
the key risk as they are over owned. AAPL may be the safe harbor name. Markets
down may lead to an opening bounce but look for direction at 10:00 ET with
release of JOLTs and ISM Services PMI. Yields and US$ will react and equity
markets will follow. SPX 4540 was Monday’s gamma flip level and a level to
watch today for accelerated weakness. Watch the daily expected move
levels. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (458.9-454.48), QQQ
(389.12-383.52), IWM (190.15-183.63), and SPX(4591.88-4547.68).
Stocks to watch AAPL, GTLB, TLT, GOOGL, META, TSLA
Spec Names RIOT, MARA
Pre-800ET
Earnings GTLB, AZO, GIII
Indices TLT, MSOS, VXX, /btc, KWEB, USO, EEM, LIT, ARKK, SOXX, GDX, QQQ, KRE, XLE, PRNT
S&P500 SJM, CVS, TTWO, ALB, TSCO, URI, PLD, INTC, SLB
IWM APLS, EVH, SWTX,
LTHM, IAS, STNE
Movers GTLB, SJM, FERG, CVS, SPHR, EVH, SWTX, MNSO, TTWO, LTHM,
SBLK, TAL, ALB, PDD, SE, BEKE, BABA, COIN
Trade Idea: GOOGL
GOOGL is the weakest of the MAG7 and pulling back premarket. Premarket 128 with potential breakdown below with support at 125. 130 is a level for potential longs which are counter trend bounces. Failed bounces can be used for fades.