Swing Trade Idea – December 7, 2023
Date: Dec 7, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.49% Currencies: USA -.16%
· News: USA: UE claims 8:30ET JPN: Comments from BOJ led to Yen spike, yields usually rise when Yen rises. Can be negative for equity due to carry trade EUR: GDP -0.1% q/q
· Stocks: DG +3.8%, CIEN +1.8%, SMTC +11%, VRNT +8.2%, GME -7.5%, CHWY -11%, AI -9.7%, Earnings
·
Overview: USA SPY 455.5 support 455 454 452.6, and
resistance 457 460; SPY expected move +/- 2.1; QQQ 386.5 with
resistance 387.9 390 and support 385 382.2, expected move 2.8. USA
indices are mixed with QQQ positive and rising and IWM in the red. Global
indices are weak premarket. Comments from BOJ (not action) has popped the Yen
and leading to the US$ lower and resulting in a pop in commodities. Yields are
higher due to the yen and are a negative for small caps and other rate
sensitive equities but the lower US$ is mitigating. Higher Yen is usually a
negative for equities but USA large cap indices are pinned which may mitigate
the normal reaction. MAG7 are leading with GOOGL, TSLA, AMZN, the top 3. May
see another day with weak breadth and MAG 7 supporting S&P500. SPX 4550 is
an important level to hold for bulls today. Watch the daily expected move
levels. Today daily expected move levels: SPY (456.9-452.6), QQQ
(387.9-382.2), IWM (187.5-180.6), SPX(4570.5-4528.1).
Stocks to watch: AMD, GOOGL, AMZN, DG, MSFT, TLT,
Spec Names SMTC, CERE, RIVN
Pre-800ET
Earnings: DG, CIEN, VEEV, CHWY, BRZE, GME, AI, VRNT, CHPT, SMTC, NAPA, CXM
Indices: USO, JETS, MSOS, GDX, EWZ, SOXX, XOP, QQQ, GLD, /btc, TLT, IWM, faangmt, UUP
S&P500: DG, GOOG, AMD, ALB, WRK, AAL, LUV, BMY, NKE,
IWM: CERE, SMTC,
VRNT, SMCI, TGTX, CNX, AI, MARA, RIOT, MSTR,
Movers: CERE, SMTC, VRNT, DG, RIVN, SQM, BRZE, GOOGL, AMD, EQNR, PLTR,
CIEN, ALB, BHP, RIO, BILI, QGEN, LUV, CXM, CHWY, AI, GME, CNM, RIOT, MARA,
MSTR, COIN, TRMD, NKE
Trade Idea: GOOGL
GOOGL is in play with the Gemini announcement that compares favourably with Chatgpt. Premarket 135.3 which is well above the daily and weekly expected moves. Potential for a squeeze higher but odds favor a pullback. Momentum long > 135 or look for pullback >= 133. Below 133 is a signal that the pop is being faded